Temnic 1924 vs Trstenik PPT — Srpska Liga - East 2019
Srpska Liga - East · East - 24Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 8+ matches
Temnic 192433%
Trstenik PPT42%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Trstenik PPT creates 15% more chances
Season form · 8 home / 58 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Over53
- Under47
3+ goals likely
Both teams score
- Yes57
- No43
Both teams likely to score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Temnic 1924 ↓
Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Temnic 1924 at home — creates 0.63, concedes 1.88 · 8 matches
Trstenik PPT away — creates 1.14, concedes 2.00 · 58 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Temnic 1924 attack 0.63 + Trstenik PPT defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.31
Trstenik PPT attack 1.14 + Temnic 1924 defence 1.88 → ÷2 → 1.51
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 42%?"
Trstenik PPT at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 42% does not mean "Trstenik PPT will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
Jagodina
Budućnost Popovac
Sinđelić
Toplicanin Prokuplje
SFS Borac
Vlasina
Timočanin
Radan
Moravac Mrštane
Dunav Prahovo
Car Konstantin
Dubočica
Rembas
Jedinstvo BošnjaceTrstenik PPTTemnic 1924If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Temnic 1924 host Trstenik PPT on Sunday, 26 April 2020 at 00:00. The match is part of the Srpska Liga - East 2019/2020 season.
Temnic 1924 vs Trstenik PPT — Match Preview
Temnic 1924 face Trstenik PPT on April 26, 2020 in this Srpska Liga - East fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.