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Universitatea Cluj vs Partizani — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Universitatea Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
FT
1 – 3
HT: 1 – 0
Partizani
Partizani
1/9/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Miracle Resort Hotel Training Center - Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Universitatea Cluj27%
×Draw23%
Partizani50%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Universitatea Cluj
1.25
Partizani
1.80

Partizani creates 44% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 5 away

creates per match

Universitatea Cluj
1.50
Partizani
1.60

allows per match

Universitatea Cluj
2.00
Partizani
1.00

finishing

Universitatea Cluj+0.00on par
Partizani+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Universitatea Cluj ↓

Partizani →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–19%
0–28%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Universitatea Cluj or draw
50%
Universitatea Cluj or Partizani
77%
Draw or Partizani
73%

Winning margin

Universitatea Cluj wins by 2+
11%
Partizani wins by 2+
28%

Team goals

Universitatea Cluj 1+ goals
71%
Universitatea Cluj 2+ goals
36%
Universitatea Cluj 3+ goals
13%
Partizani 1+ goals
83%
Partizani 2+ goals
54%
Partizani 3+ goals
27%

Draw no bet

Universitatea Cluj (draw refunded)
35%
Partizani (draw refunded)
65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Universitatea Cluj at home — creates 1.50, concedes 2.00 · 8 matches

Partizani away — creates 1.60, concedes 1.00 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Universitatea Cluj attack 1.50 + Partizani defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.25

Partizani attack 1.60 + Universitatea Cluj defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Universitatea Cluj scores more
27%
level
23%
Partizani scores more
50%

Partizani at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Partizani will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Universitatea Cluj vs Partizani

Partizani beat Universitatea Cluj 3-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 9, 2024.

The match was played at Miracle Resort Hotel Training Center - Stadium in Lara.