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United Arab Emirates vs Faroe Islands — Friendlies 2026

United Arab Emirates
United Arab Emirates
CANC
12:00
Faroe Islands
Faroe Islands
3/30/2026FriendliesFriendlies · Friendly International

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

United Arab Emirates50%
×Draw26%
Faroe Islands23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

United Arab Emirates
1.50
Faroe Islands
0.93

United Arab Emirates creates 61% more chances

Season form · 24 home / 11 away

creates per match

United Arab Emirates
1.46
Faroe Islands
0.82

allows per match

United Arab Emirates
1.04
Faroe Islands
1.55

finishing

United Arab Emirates+0.00on par
Faroe Islands+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

United Arab Emirates ↓

Faroe Islands →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

United Arab Emirates or draw
77%
United Arab Emirates or Faroe Islands
74%
Draw or Faroe Islands
50%

Winning margin

United Arab Emirates wins by 2+
26%
Faroe Islands wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

United Arab Emirates 1+ goals
78%
United Arab Emirates 2+ goals
44%
United Arab Emirates 3+ goals
19%
Faroe Islands 1+ goals
61%
Faroe Islands 2+ goals
24%
Faroe Islands 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

United Arab Emirates (draw refunded)
68%
Faroe Islands (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

United Arab Emirates at home — creates 1.46, concedes 1.04 · 24 matches

Faroe Islands away — creates 0.82, concedes 1.55 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

United Arab Emirates attack 1.46 + Faroe Islands defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.50

Faroe Islands attack 0.82 + United Arab Emirates defence 1.04 → ÷2 → 0.93

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

United Arab Emirates scores more
50%
level
26%
Faroe Islands scores more
23%

United Arab Emirates at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "United Arab Emirates will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: United Arab Emirates host Faroe Islands

March 30, 2026: United Arab Emirates take on Faroe Islands in Friendlies. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.