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Unisport Bafang vs Dynamo de Douala — Elite One 2019

Unisport Bafang
Unisport Bafang
FT
2 – 7
HT: 1 – 3
Dynamo de Douala
Dynamo de Douala
Unknown 57', 9'
Unknown 90+4', 70', 54', 49', 37', 27', 25'
6/28/2026Elite OneElite One · Round 26

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 26+ matches

Unisport Bafang36%
×Draw29%
Dynamo de Douala35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Unisport Bafang
1.14
Dynamo de Douala
1.11

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 26 home / 38 away

creates per match

Unisport Bafang
1.15
Dynamo de Douala
1.34

allows per match

Unisport Bafang
0.88
Dynamo de Douala
1.13

finishing

Unisport Bafang+0.00on par
Dynamo de Douala+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Under
  • Under61
  • Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Unisport Bafang ↓

Dynamo de Douala →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–112%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–24%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
66%34%2.5
39%61%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Unisport Bafang or draw
65%
Unisport Bafang or Dynamo de Douala
71%
Draw or Dynamo de Douala
64%

Winning margin

Unisport Bafang wins by 2+
15%
Dynamo de Douala wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Unisport Bafang 1+ goals
68%
Unisport Bafang 2+ goals
32%
Unisport Bafang 3+ goals
11%
Dynamo de Douala 1+ goals
67%
Dynamo de Douala 2+ goals
30%
Dynamo de Douala 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Unisport Bafang (draw refunded)
51%
Dynamo de Douala (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Unisport Bafang at home — creates 1.15, concedes 0.88 · 26 matches

Dynamo de Douala away — creates 1.34, concedes 1.13 · 38 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Unisport Bafang attack 1.15 + Dynamo de Douala defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.14

Dynamo de Douala attack 1.34 + Unisport Bafang defence 0.88 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 36%?"

Unisport Bafang scores more
36%
level
29%
Dynamo de Douala scores more
35%

Unisport Bafang at 36% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 36% does not mean "Unisport Bafang will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

9'
25'
27'
37'
49'
54'
57'
70'
90+4'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Elite One: Unisport Bafang 2–7 Dynamo de Douala

Dynamo de Douala beat Unisport Bafang 7-2 in Elite One on June 28, 2026.

Goals: ? (9', 25', 27', 37', 49', 54', 57', 70', 90+4').