Unirea Slobozia 0–2 Pakhtakor: Result & Stats

Unirea Slobozia

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

Pakhtakor

U. Khoshimov 65'

B. Resan 16'

1/8/2025

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Titanic Sports Center - Field 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Unirea Slobozia23%

×Draw34%

Pakhtakor43%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Unirea SloboziaExpected goals in this matchPakhtakor

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.65

1.01

Unirea Slobozia

0.65

Pakhtakor

1.01

Pakhtakor creates 55% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 7 away

0.00

creates per match

0.86

1.17

allows per match

1.29

creates per match

Unirea Slobozia

0.00

Pakhtakor

0.86

allows per match

Unirea Slobozia

1.17

Pakhtakor

1.29

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Unirea Slobozia+0.00on par

Pakhtakor+0.00on par

Total goals

Under77
Over23

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No70
Yes30

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Unirea Slobozia ↓

Pakhtakor →

0–019%

0–119%

0–210%

0–33%

0–41%

1–012%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2–04%

2–14%

2–22%

2–31%

2–40%

3–01%

3–11%

3–20%

3–30%

3–40%

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (19%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

81%19%1.5

49%51%2.5

23%77%3.5

9%91%4.5

3%97%

Double chance

Unirea Slobozia or draw

57%

Unirea Slobozia or Pakhtakor

66%

Draw or Pakhtakor

77%

Winning margin

Unirea Slobozia wins by 2+

Pakhtakor wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Unirea Slobozia 1+ goals

48%

Unirea Slobozia 2+ goals

14%

Unirea Slobozia 3+ goals

Pakhtakor 1+ goals

64%

Pakhtakor 2+ goals

27%

Pakhtakor 3+ goals

Draw no bet

Unirea Slobozia (draw refunded)

35%

Pakhtakor (draw refunded)

65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

18%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Unirea Slobozia at home — creates 0.00, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

Pakhtakor away — creates 0.86, concedes 1.29 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Unirea Slobozia attack 0.00 + Pakhtakor defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 0.65

Pakhtakor attack 0.86 + Unirea Slobozia defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.01

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 43%?"

Unirea Slobozia scores more

23%

level

34%

Pakhtakor scores more

43%

Pakhtakor at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Pakhtakor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

16'

B. Resan

65'

U. Khoshimov

Unirea

Pakhtakor

⚽

Manager: Ion Vlădoiu

Unirea Slobozia substitutes

KrellSerbanicaIbrianDinuPacionelLemnaruDorobantuVlasceanuYusovCamaraIlie

Pakhtakor substitutes

ShevchenkoAlizhonovAbdumazhidovAbdullaevAbdullaevUrinboevKholmatovBurievKhoshimovKholdorkhonovMakhamadzhonovKhamdamov30Jurakuziev

Match Recap: Unirea Slobozia vs Pakhtakor

Pakhtakor beat Unirea Slobozia 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 8, 2025.

Goals: B. Resan (16'), U. Khoshimov (65').

The match was played at Titanic Sports Center - Field 1 in Belek.

Unirea Slobozia vs Pakhtakor — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Unirea Slobozia vs Pakhtakor