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Union RB Weinland Gamlit vs FSC Hochegger Dächer — Landesliga - Steiermark 2019

Union RB Weinland Gamlit
Union RB Weinland Gamlit
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
FSC Hochegger Dächer
FSC Hochegger Dächer
10/11/2025Landesliga - SteiermarkLandesliga - Steiermark · Steiermark - 11Weinland-Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

Union RB Weinland Gamlit37%
×Draw22%
FSC Hochegger Dächer42%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Union RB Weinland Gamlit
1.79
FSC Hochegger Dächer
1.91

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 88 home / 44 away

creates per match

Union RB Weinland Gamlit
1.81
FSC Hochegger Dächer
2.02

allows per match

Union RB Weinland Gamlit
1.80
FSC Hochegger Dächer
1.77

finishing

Union RB Weinland Gamlit+0.00on par
FSC Hochegger Dächer+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Union RB Weinland Gamlit ↓

FSC Hochegger Dächer →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–15%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–19%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
50%50%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Union RB Weinland Gamlit or draw
58%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit or FSC Hochegger Dächer
78%
Draw or FSC Hochegger Dächer
63%

Winning margin

Union RB Weinland Gamlit wins by 2+
19%
FSC Hochegger Dächer wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

Union RB Weinland Gamlit 1+ goals
83%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit 2+ goals
53%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit 3+ goals
26%
FSC Hochegger Dächer 1+ goals
85%
FSC Hochegger Dächer 2+ goals
57%
FSC Hochegger Dächer 3+ goals
30%

Draw no bet

Union RB Weinland Gamlit (draw refunded)
47%
FSC Hochegger Dächer (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Union RB Weinland Gamlit at home — creates 1.81, concedes 1.80 · 88 matches

FSC Hochegger Dächer away — creates 2.02, concedes 1.77 · 44 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Union RB Weinland Gamlit attack 1.81 + FSC Hochegger Dächer defence 1.77 → ÷2 → 1.79

FSC Hochegger Dächer attack 2.02 + Union RB Weinland Gamlit defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.91

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Union RB Weinland Gamlit scores more
37%
level
22%
FSC Hochegger Dächer scores more
42%

FSC Hochegger Dächer at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "FSC Hochegger Dächer will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Union RB Weinland Gamlit vs FSC Hochegger Dächer

Union RB Weinland Gamlit and FSC Hochegger Dächer drew 0-0 in Landesliga - Steiermark on October 11, 2025.

The match was played at Weinland-Stadion in Gamlitz.