Umeå FC 0–2 Landskrona BoIS: Result & Stats

Umeå FC

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

Landskrona BoIS

E. Sylisufaj 54'

A. Egnell 11' (pen)

5/3/2025

Superettan · Round 6Umea Energi Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 8+ matches

Umeå FC36%

×Draw23%

Landskrona BoIS41%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Umeå FCExpected goals in this matchLandskrona BoIS

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.56

1.69

Umeå FC

1.56

Landskrona BoIS

1.69

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 8 home / 15 away

1.62

creates per match

1.85

1.53

allows per match

1.50

creates per match

Umeå FC

1.62

Landskrona BoIS

1.85

allows per match

Umeå FC

1.53

Landskrona BoIS

1.50

-0.62scores less than expected

finishing

-0.18scores less than expected

finishing

Umeå FC-0.62scores less

Landskrona BoIS-0.18scores less

Total goals

Over63
Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes64
No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Umeå FC ↓

Landskrona BoIS →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–17%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–110%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–02%

3–14%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

63%37%3.5

41%59%4.5

23%77%

Double chance

Umeå FC or draw

59%

Umeå FC or Landskrona BoIS

77%

Draw or Landskrona BoIS

64%

Winning margin

Umeå FC wins by 2+

17%

Landskrona BoIS wins by 2+

21%

Team goals

Umeå FC 1+ goals

79%

Umeå FC 2+ goals

46%

Umeå FC 3+ goals

21%

Landskrona BoIS 1+ goals

82%

Landskrona BoIS 2+ goals

50%

Landskrona BoIS 3+ goals

24%

Draw no bet

Umeå FC (draw refunded)

46%

Landskrona BoIS (draw refunded)

54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

54%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Umeå FC at home — creates 1.62, concedes 1.53 · 8 matches

Landskrona BoIS away — creates 1.85, concedes 1.50 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Umeå FC attack 1.62 + Landskrona BoIS defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.56

Landskrona BoIS attack 1.85 + Umeå FC defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.69

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Umeå FC scores more

36%

level

23%

Landskrona BoIS scores more

41%

Landskrona BoIS at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Landskrona BoIS will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9

E. Sylisufaj

Landskrona BoIS · M

8.7

Match Events

11'

A. EgnellPenalty

22'

Stefan Lindmark

50'

A. Perez← M. Jonsson

54'

E. Sylisufaj↳ R. Rahmani

55'

T. Olsson← E. Cederblad

55'

H. Lundqvist← M. Dejene

55'

J. Voilas← A. Martiatu Nordeman

61'

L. Ohman← D. Persson

63'

Max Nilsson

68'

C. Streete← V. Sundberg

68'

K. Jensen← X. Odhiambo

71'

Gustaf Bruzelius

77'

M. H. Haga← J. Hedstrom

78'

H. Nasstrom← C. Capotondi

78'

M. Bjorkqvist← M. Nilsson

82'

Ludvig Ohman

85'

E. Yeboah← D. Bangala

86'

V. Karlsson← A. Egnell

90+4'

Eythor Bjørgolfsson

90+2'

Mikael Harbosen Haga

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

UmeåLandskrona

Overview

33%Possession67%

9Total Shots14

1.53Expected Goals (xG)2.34

4Corners5

17Fouls14

Shots

9Total Shots14

3On Target5

4Off Target4

2Blocked5

7Inside Box8

2Outside Box6

Passing

33%Possession67%

253Total Passes529

185Accurate Passes461

73%Pass Accuracy87%

Goalkeeping

3Saves3

Discipline

17Fouls14

4Yellow Cards2

0Red Cards0

0Offsides2

Match Recap: Umeå FC vs Landskrona BoIS

Landskrona BoIS beat Umeå FC 2-0 in Superettan on May 3, 2025.

Goals: A. Egnell (11' pen), E. Sylisufaj (54').

Landskrona BoIS controlled possession (67%) and registered 14 shots to 9.

The match was played at Umea Energi Arena in Umea.

Umeå FC vs Landskrona BoIS — Superettan 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Umeå FC vs Landskrona BoIS