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Ull/Kisa vs Kvik Halden — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Ull/Kisa
Ull/Kisa
FT
2 – 1
Kvik Halden
Kvik Halden
2/22/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Jessheim Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Ull/Kisa52%
×Draw25%
Kvik Halden23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ull/Kisa
1.60
Kvik Halden
0.98

Ull/Kisa creates 63% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 6 away

creates per match

Ull/Kisa
0.88
Kvik Halden
0.83

allows per match

Ull/Kisa
1.13
Kvik Halden
2.33

finishing

Ull/Kisa+0.00on par
Kvik Halden+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ull/Kisa ↓

Kvik Halden →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–17%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Ull/Kisa or draw
77%
Ull/Kisa or Kvik Halden
75%
Draw or Kvik Halden
48%

Winning margin

Ull/Kisa wins by 2+
27%
Kvik Halden wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Ull/Kisa 1+ goals
80%
Ull/Kisa 2+ goals
47%
Ull/Kisa 3+ goals
22%
Kvik Halden 1+ goals
62%
Kvik Halden 2+ goals
26%
Kvik Halden 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Ull/Kisa (draw refunded)
69%
Kvik Halden (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ull/Kisa at home — creates 0.88, concedes 1.13 · 8 matches

Kvik Halden away — creates 0.83, concedes 2.33 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ull/Kisa attack 0.88 + Kvik Halden defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 1.60

Kvik Halden attack 0.83 + Ull/Kisa defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Ull/Kisa scores more
52%
level
25%
Kvik Halden scores more
23%

Ull/Kisa at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Ull/Kisa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Ull/Kisa vs Kvik Halden

Ull/Kisa beat Kvik Halden 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 22, 2020.

The match was played at Jessheim Stadion in Jessheim.