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Uherský Brod vs Vyškov — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Uherský Brod
Uherský Brod
FT
0 – 4
HT: 0 – 2
Vyškov
Vyškov
Bayo 79', 77'
Aldin 27'
D. Jambor 15'
1/21/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3UMT Lapač

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Uherský Brod55%
×Draw21%
Vyškov24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Uherský Brod
2.13
Vyškov
1.34

Uherský Brod creates 59% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 14 away

creates per match

Uherský Brod
2.25
Vyškov
1.43

allows per match

Uherský Brod
1.25
Vyškov
2.00

finishing

Uherský Brod+0.00on par
Vyškov+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Uherský Brod ↓

Vyškov →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–19%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

Uherský Brod or draw
76%
Uherský Brod or Vyškov
79%
Draw or Vyškov
45%

Winning margin

Uherský Brod wins by 2+
33%
Vyškov wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Uherský Brod 1+ goals
88%
Uherský Brod 2+ goals
63%
Uherský Brod 3+ goals
35%
Vyškov 1+ goals
74%
Vyškov 2+ goals
39%
Vyškov 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Uherský Brod (draw refunded)
70%
Vyškov (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Uherský Brod at home — creates 2.25, concedes 1.25 · 8 matches

Vyškov away — creates 1.43, concedes 2.00 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Uherský Brod attack 2.25 + Vyškov defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.13

Vyškov attack 1.43 + Uherský Brod defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.34

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Uherský Brod scores more
55%
level
21%
Vyškov scores more
24%

Uherský Brod at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Uherský Brod will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

15'
D. Jambor
27'
Aldin
77'
Bayo
79'
Bayo

Statistics

UherskýVyškov
Overview
6Corners2

Friendlies Clubs: Uherský Brod 0–4 Vyškov

Vyškov beat Uherský Brod 4-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 21, 2023.

Goals: D. Jambor (15'), Aldin (27'), Bayo (77', 79').

The match was played at UMT Lapač in Uherský Brod.