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UCC Youngsters vs Sefwi All Stars — Division One League 2025

UCC Youngsters
UCC Youngsters
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Sefwi All Stars
Sefwi All Stars
2/22/2026Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 20

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

UCC Youngsters46%
×Draw28%
Sefwi All Stars26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

UCC Youngsters
1.30
Sefwi All Stars
0.90

UCC Youngsters creates 44% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

UCC Youngsters
1.07
Sefwi All Stars
0.40

allows per match

UCC Youngsters
1.40
Sefwi All Stars
1.53

finishing

UCC Youngsters+0.00on par
Sefwi All Stars+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Under
  • Under62
  • Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

UCC Youngsters ↓

Sefwi All Stars →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
38%62%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

UCC Youngsters or draw
74%
UCC Youngsters or Sefwi All Stars
72%
Draw or Sefwi All Stars
54%

Winning margin

UCC Youngsters wins by 2+
21%
Sefwi All Stars wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

UCC Youngsters 1+ goals
73%
UCC Youngsters 2+ goals
37%
UCC Youngsters 3+ goals
14%
Sefwi All Stars 1+ goals
59%
Sefwi All Stars 2+ goals
23%
Sefwi All Stars 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

UCC Youngsters (draw refunded)
64%
Sefwi All Stars (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

UCC Youngsters at home — creates 1.07, concedes 1.40 · 15 matches

Sefwi All Stars away — creates 0.40, concedes 1.53 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

UCC Youngsters attack 1.07 + Sefwi All Stars defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.30

Sefwi All Stars attack 0.40 + UCC Youngsters defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

UCC Youngsters scores more
46%
level
28%
Sefwi All Stars scores more
26%

UCC Youngsters at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "UCC Youngsters will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: UCC Youngsters vs Sefwi All Stars

UCC Youngsters beat Sefwi All Stars 1-0 in Division One League on February 22, 2026.