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UCC Youngsters vs Eleven Wise — Division One League 2025

UCC Youngsters
UCC Youngsters
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Eleven Wise
Eleven Wise
2/1/2026Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 18

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

UCC Youngsters59%
×Draw24%
Eleven Wise17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

UCC Youngsters
1.67
Eleven Wise
0.76

UCC Youngsters creates 120% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

UCC Youngsters
1.07
Eleven Wise
0.13

allows per match

UCC Youngsters
1.40
Eleven Wise
2.27

finishing

UCC Youngsters+0.00on par
Eleven Wise+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

UCC Youngsters ↓

Eleven Wise →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

UCC Youngsters or draw
83%
UCC Youngsters or Eleven Wise
76%
Draw or Eleven Wise
41%

Winning margin

UCC Youngsters wins by 2+
33%
Eleven Wise wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

UCC Youngsters 1+ goals
81%
UCC Youngsters 2+ goals
50%
UCC Youngsters 3+ goals
23%
Eleven Wise 1+ goals
53%
Eleven Wise 2+ goals
18%
Eleven Wise 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

UCC Youngsters (draw refunded)
78%
Eleven Wise (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

UCC Youngsters at home — creates 1.07, concedes 1.40 · 15 matches

Eleven Wise away — creates 0.13, concedes 2.27 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

UCC Youngsters attack 1.07 + Eleven Wise defence 2.27 → ÷2 → 1.67

Eleven Wise attack 0.13 + UCC Youngsters defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 0.76

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

UCC Youngsters scores more
59%
level
24%
Eleven Wise scores more
17%

UCC Youngsters at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "UCC Youngsters will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: UCC Youngsters vs Eleven Wise

UCC Youngsters beat Eleven Wise 2-0 in Division One League on February 1, 2026.