Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

UAI Urquiza vs Flandria — Primera B Metropolitana 2026

UAI Urquiza
UAI Urquiza
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Flandria
Flandria
2/16/2024Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B Metropolitana · Apertura - 3Estadio Monumental de Villa Lynch

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 104+ matches

UAI Urquiza34%
×Draw32%
Flandria34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

UAI Urquiza
0.94
Flandria
0.94

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 135 home / 104 away

creates per match

UAI Urquiza
0.94
Flandria
0.84

allows per match

UAI Urquiza
1.04
Flandria
0.95

finishing

UAI Urquiza+0.00on par
Flandria+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Under
  • Under71
  • Over29

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

UAI Urquiza ↓

Flandria →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–015%
0–114%
0–27%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–07%
2–16%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
56%44%2.5
29%71%3.5
12%88%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

UAI Urquiza or draw
66%
UAI Urquiza or Flandria
68%
Draw or Flandria
66%

Winning margin

UAI Urquiza wins by 2+
12%
Flandria wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

UAI Urquiza 1+ goals
61%
UAI Urquiza 2+ goals
24%
UAI Urquiza 3+ goals
7%
Flandria 1+ goals
61%
Flandria 2+ goals
24%
Flandria 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

UAI Urquiza (draw refunded)
50%
Flandria (draw refunded)
50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

UAI Urquiza at home — creates 0.94, concedes 1.04 · 135 matches

Flandria away — creates 0.84, concedes 0.95 · 104 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

UAI Urquiza attack 0.94 + Flandria defence 0.95 → ÷2 → 0.94

Flandria attack 0.84 + UAI Urquiza defence 1.04 → ÷2 → 0.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 34%?"

UAI Urquiza scores more
34%
level
32%
Flandria scores more
34%

UAI Urquiza at 34% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 34% does not mean "UAI Urquiza will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

UAI Urquiza 0 – 0 Flandria

UAI Urquiza and Flandria drew 0-0 in Primera B Metropolitana on February 16, 2024.

The match was played at Estadio Monumental de Villa Lynch in General San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires.