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U Craiova 1948 vs Slatina — Friendlies Clubs 2026

U Craiova 1948
U Craiova 1948
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Slatina
Slatina
2/15/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

U Craiova 194846%
×Draw21%
Slatina33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

U Craiova 1948
2.08
Slatina
1.73

U Craiova 1948 creates 20% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 7 away

creates per match

U Craiova 1948
1.88
Slatina
1.57

allows per match

U Craiova 1948
1.88
Slatina
2.29

finishing

U Craiova 1948+0.00on par
Slatina+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Over
  • Over73
  • Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

U Craiova 1948 ↓

Slatina →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
73%27%3.5
52%48%4.5
33%67%

Double chance

U Craiova 1948 or draw
67%
U Craiova 1948 or Slatina
79%
Draw or Slatina
54%

Winning margin

U Craiova 1948 wins by 2+
26%
Slatina wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

U Craiova 1948 1+ goals
87%
U Craiova 1948 2+ goals
61%
U Craiova 1948 3+ goals
34%
Slatina 1+ goals
82%
Slatina 2+ goals
52%
Slatina 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

U Craiova 1948 (draw refunded)
59%
Slatina (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
64%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

U Craiova 1948 at home — creates 1.88, concedes 1.88 · 8 matches

Slatina away — creates 1.57, concedes 2.29 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

U Craiova 1948 attack 1.88 + Slatina defence 2.29 → ÷2 → 2.08

Slatina attack 1.57 + U Craiova 1948 defence 1.88 → ÷2 → 1.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

U Craiova 1948 scores more
46%
level
21%
Slatina scores more
33%

U Craiova 1948 at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "U Craiova 1948 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: U Craiova 1948 1–2 Slatina

Slatina beat U Craiova 1948 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 15, 2025.