Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

U Craiova 1948 vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti — Friendlies Clubs 2026

U Craiova 1948
U Craiova 1948
FT
4 – 1
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
11/13/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Terenul Petre Deselnicu

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

U Craiova 194843%
×Draw19%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

U Craiova 1948
2.60
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.44

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 8 home / 3 away

creates per match

U Craiova 1948
1.88
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
3.00

allows per match

U Craiova 1948
1.88
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
3.33

finishing

U Craiova 1948+0.00on par
CSA Steaua Bucureşti+0.00on par

Total goals

87%Over
  • Over87
  • Under13

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

84%Yes
  • Yes84
  • No16

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

U Craiova 1948 ↓

CSA Steaua Bucureşti →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–02%
1–14%
1–25%
1–34%
1–43%
2
2–02%
2–16%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–26%
3–35%
3–43%
4
4–01%
4–13%
4–24%
4–33%
4–42%

Most likely 2–2 (7%) · grid covers 81% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
96%4%2.5
87%13%3.5
73%27%4.5
55%45%

Double chance

U Craiova 1948 or draw
62%
U Craiova 1948 or CSA Steaua Bucureşti
81%
Draw or CSA Steaua Bucureşti
57%

Winning margin

U Craiova 1948 wins by 2+
26%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

U Craiova 1948 1+ goals
92%
U Craiova 1948 2+ goals
73%
U Craiova 1948 3+ goals
47%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti 1+ goals
91%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti 2+ goals
70%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti 3+ goals
43%

Draw no bet

U Craiova 1948 (draw refunded)
53%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
80%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

U Craiova 1948 at home — creates 1.88, concedes 1.88 · 8 matches

CSA Steaua Bucureşti away — creates 3.00, concedes 3.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

U Craiova 1948 attack 1.88 + CSA Steaua Bucureşti defence 3.33 → ÷2 → 2.60

CSA Steaua Bucureşti attack 3.00 + U Craiova 1948 defence 1.88 → ÷2 → 2.44

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

U Craiova 1948 scores more
43%
level
19%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti scores more
38%

U Craiova 1948 at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "U Craiova 1948 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: U Craiova 1948 vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti

U Craiova 1948 beat CSA Steaua Bucureşti 4-1 in Friendlies Clubs on November 13, 2021.

The match was played at Terenul Petre Deselnicu in Craiova.