Tychy 71 0–1 Wisla Plock: Result & Stats | I Liga

Tychy 71

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Wisla Plock

F. Hiszpański 42'

4/6/2024

I Liga · Round 26Stadion Miejski

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 34+ matches

Tychy 7142%

×Draw26%

Wisla Plock32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tychy 71Expected goals in this matchWisla Plock

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.45

1.23

Tychy 71

1.45

Wisla Plock

1.23

Tychy 71 creates 18% more chances

Season form · 128 home / 34 away

1.43

creates per match

1.21

1.24

allows per match

1.47

creates per match

Tychy 71

1.43

Wisla Plock

1.21

allows per match

Tychy 71

1.24

Wisla Plock

1.47

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Tychy 71+0.00on par

Wisla Plock+0.00on par

Total goals

Under50
Over50

Close call

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tychy 71 ↓

Wisla Plock →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–112%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

50%50%3.5

28%72%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Tychy 71 or draw

68%

Tychy 71 or Wisla Plock

74%

Draw or Wisla Plock

58%

Winning margin

Tychy 71 wins by 2+

20%

Wisla Plock wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Tychy 71 1+ goals

77%

Tychy 71 2+ goals

42%

Tychy 71 3+ goals

18%

Wisla Plock 1+ goals

71%

Wisla Plock 2+ goals

35%

Wisla Plock 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Tychy 71 (draw refunded)

57%

Wisla Plock (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tychy 71 at home — creates 1.43, concedes 1.24 · 128 matches

Wisla Plock away — creates 1.21, concedes 1.47 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tychy 71 attack 1.43 + Wisla Plock defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.45

Wisla Plock attack 1.21 + Tychy 71 defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Tychy 71 scores more

42%

level

26%

Wisla Plock scores more

32%

Tychy 71 at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Tychy 71 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

12'

18'

19'

31'

34'

42'

59'

J. Szymański← M. Biernat

64'

M. Stangret← T. Kurtaran

64'

P. Mikita← M. Błachewicz

71'

K. Laskowski← D. Kocyła

79'

K. Skibicki← J. Tecław

79'

P. Mystkowski← J. Ertlthaler

84'

J. Bieroński← N. Wojtuszek

84'

J. Westermark← Ł. Sekulski

90+5'

J. Jach

Tychy

Wisla

▼

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: D. Banasik

64'▲M. Stangret←▼T. Kurtaran

64'▲P. Mikita←▼M. Błachewicz

79'▲K. Skibicki←▼J. Tecław

79'▲P. Mystkowski←▼J. Ertlthaler

84'▲J. Bieroński←▼N. Wojtuszek

Tychy 71 substitutes

StangretMikitaSkibickiMystkowskiBierońskiKostrzewskiPołapKrzakSzpakowski

Manager: D. Żuraw

59'▲J. Szymański←▼M. Biernat

71'▲K. Laskowski←▼D. Kocyła

84'▲J. Westermark←▼Ł. Sekulski

Wisla Plock substitutes

SzymańskiLaskowskiWestermarkChrzanowskiThiakaneJimeKamińskiLorencTomczyk

Match Recap: Tychy 71 vs Wisla Plock

Wisla Plock beat Tychy 71 1-0 in I Liga on April 6, 2024.

Goals: F. Hiszpański (42').

The match was played at Stadion Miejski in Tychy.

Tychy 71 vs Wisla Plock — I Liga 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Tychy 71 vs Wisla Plock