Tychy 71 0–0 Rekord Bielsko-Biała: Result & Stats

Tychy 71

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Rekord Bielsko-Biała

1/29/2025

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Tychy City Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Tychy 7147%

×Draw25%

Rekord Bielsko-Biała28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tychy 71Expected goals in this matchRekord Bielsko-Biała

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.53

1.12

Tychy 71

1.53

Rekord Bielsko-Biała

1.12

Tychy 71 creates 37% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 12 away

1.64

creates per match

0.83

1.41

allows per match

1.42

creates per match

Tychy 71

1.64

Rekord Bielsko-Biała

0.83

allows per match

Tychy 71

1.41

Rekord Bielsko-Biała

1.42

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Tychy 71+0.00on par

Rekord Bielsko-Biała+0.00on par

Total goals

Under51
Over49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tychy 71 ↓

Rekord Bielsko-Biała →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–24%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

49%51%3.5

27%73%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Tychy 71 or draw

72%

Tychy 71 or Rekord Bielsko-Biała

75%

Draw or Rekord Bielsko-Biała

53%

Winning margin

Tychy 71 wins by 2+

24%

Rekord Bielsko-Biała wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Tychy 71 1+ goals

78%

Tychy 71 2+ goals

45%

Tychy 71 3+ goals

20%

Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1+ goals

67%

Rekord Bielsko-Biała 2+ goals

31%

Rekord Bielsko-Biała 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Tychy 71 (draw refunded)

63%

Rekord Bielsko-Biała (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tychy 71 at home — creates 1.64, concedes 1.41 · 22 matches

Rekord Bielsko-Biała away — creates 0.83, concedes 1.42 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tychy 71 attack 1.64 + Rekord Bielsko-Biała defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.53

Rekord Bielsko-Biała attack 0.83 + Tychy 71 defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Tychy 71 scores more

47%

level

25%

Rekord Bielsko-Biała scores more

28%

Tychy 71 at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Tychy 71 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Tychy

Rekord

Manager: A. Skowronek

Manager: D. Rucki