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Tychy 71 vs Hutnik Kraków — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Tychy 71
Tychy 71
FT
3 – 3
HT: 0 – 1
Hutnik Kraków
Hutnik Kraków
1/13/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadion Miejski

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Tychy 7149%
×Draw22%
Hutnik Kraków30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Tychy 71
1.97
Hutnik Kraków
1.50

Tychy 71 creates 31% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 10 away

creates per match

Tychy 71
1.65
Hutnik Kraków
1.60

allows per match

Tychy 71
1.40
Hutnik Kraków
2.30

finishing

Tychy 71+0.00on par
Hutnik Kraków+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tychy 71 ↓

Hutnik Kraków →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

Tychy 71 or draw
70%
Tychy 71 or Hutnik Kraków
78%
Draw or Hutnik Kraków
51%

Winning margin

Tychy 71 wins by 2+
28%
Hutnik Kraków wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Tychy 71 1+ goals
86%
Tychy 71 2+ goals
58%
Tychy 71 3+ goals
31%
Hutnik Kraków 1+ goals
78%
Hutnik Kraków 2+ goals
44%
Hutnik Kraków 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Tychy 71 (draw refunded)
62%
Hutnik Kraków (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
58%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tychy 71 at home — creates 1.65, concedes 1.40 · 20 matches

Hutnik Kraków away — creates 1.60, concedes 2.30 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tychy 71 attack 1.65 + Hutnik Kraków defence 2.30 → ÷2 → 1.97

Hutnik Kraków attack 1.60 + Tychy 71 defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Tychy 71 scores more
49%
level
22%
Hutnik Kraków scores more
30%

Tychy 71 at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Tychy 71 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Tychy 71 vs Hutnik Kraków

Tychy 71 and Hutnik Kraków drew 3-3 in Friendlies Clubs on January 13, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion Miejski in Tychy.