Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Turkey U19 vs Greece U19 — Friendlies 2018

Turkey U19
Turkey U19
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Greece U19
Greece U19
2/10/2026FriendliesFriendlies · Friendly International

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Turkey U1922%
×Draw36%
Greece U1942%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Turkey U19
0.59
Greece U19
0.93

Greece U19 creates 58% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 7 away

creates per match

Turkey U19
0.75
Greece U19
0.86

allows per match

Turkey U19
1.00
Greece U19
0.43

finishing

Turkey U19+0.00on par
Greece U19+0.00on par

Total goals

80%Under
  • Under80
  • Over20

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

73%No
  • No73
  • Yes27

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Turkey U19 ↓

Greece U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–022%
0–120%
0–29%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–013%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–04%
2–14%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–20%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (22%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
78%22%1.5
45%55%2.5
20%80%3.5
7%93%4.5
2%98%

Double chance

Turkey U19 or draw
58%
Turkey U19 or Greece U19
64%
Draw or Greece U19
78%

Winning margin

Turkey U19 wins by 2+
6%
Greece U19 wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Turkey U19 1+ goals
45%
Turkey U19 2+ goals
12%
Turkey U19 3+ goals
2%
Greece U19 1+ goals
61%
Greece U19 2+ goals
24%
Greece U19 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Turkey U19 (draw refunded)
35%
Greece U19 (draw refunded)
65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
15%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Turkey U19 at home — creates 0.75, concedes 1.00 · 4 matches

Greece U19 away — creates 0.86, concedes 0.43 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Turkey U19 attack 0.75 + Greece U19 defence 0.43 → ÷2 → 0.59

Greece U19 attack 0.86 + Turkey U19 defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.93

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Turkey U19 scores more
22%
level
36%
Greece U19 scores more
42%

Greece U19 at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Greece U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Turkey
Greece
S. Sarıoğlu
Manager: S. Sarıoğlu
V. Moras
Manager: V. Moras

Friendlies: Turkey U19 0–0 Greece U19

Turkey U19 and Greece U19 drew 0-0 in Friendlies on February 10, 2026.