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TSV Steinbach vs Würzburger Kickers — Friendlies Clubs 2026

TSV Steinbach
TSV Steinbach
CANC
13:00
Würzburger Kickers
Würzburger Kickers
2/10/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Sportzentrum Am Sonnenstuhl

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

TSV Steinbach54%
×Draw20%
Würzburger Kickers26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

TSV Steinbach
2.39
Würzburger Kickers
1.63

TSV Steinbach creates 47% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 8 away

creates per match

TSV Steinbach
2.40
Würzburger Kickers
2.25

allows per match

TSV Steinbach
1.00
Würzburger Kickers
2.38

finishing

TSV Steinbach+0.00on par
Würzburger Kickers+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

73%Yes
  • Yes73
  • No27

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

TSV Steinbach ↓

Würzburger Kickers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
56%44%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

TSV Steinbach or draw
74%
TSV Steinbach or Würzburger Kickers
80%
Draw or Würzburger Kickers
46%

Winning margin

TSV Steinbach wins by 2+
34%
Würzburger Kickers wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

TSV Steinbach 1+ goals
91%
TSV Steinbach 2+ goals
69%
TSV Steinbach 3+ goals
42%
Würzburger Kickers 1+ goals
80%
Würzburger Kickers 2+ goals
48%
Würzburger Kickers 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

TSV Steinbach (draw refunded)
67%
Würzburger Kickers (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
66%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

TSV Steinbach at home — creates 2.40, concedes 1.00 · 5 matches

Würzburger Kickers away — creates 2.25, concedes 2.38 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

TSV Steinbach attack 2.40 + Würzburger Kickers defence 2.38 → ÷2 → 2.39

Würzburger Kickers attack 2.25 + TSV Steinbach defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.63

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

TSV Steinbach scores more
54%
level
20%
Würzburger Kickers scores more
26%

TSV Steinbach at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "TSV Steinbach will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

TSV Steinbach face Würzburger Kickers (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with TSV Steinbach hosting Würzburger Kickers. Match starts February 10, 2024. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

TSV Steinbach host Würzburger Kickers at Sportzentrum Am Sonnenstuhl.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.