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TSC Backa Topola vs Radnicki 1923 — Super Liga 2026

TSC Backa Topola
TSC Backa Topola
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Radnicki 1923
Radnicki 1923
3/22/2026Super LigaSuper Liga · Round 28TSC Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 94+ matches

TSC Backa Topola49%
×Draw24%
Radnicki 192327%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

TSC Backa Topola
1.66
Radnicki 1923
1.16

TSC Backa Topola creates 43% more chances

Season form · 128 home / 94 away

creates per match

TSC Backa Topola
1.80
Radnicki 1923
1.15

allows per match

TSC Backa Topola
1.17
Radnicki 1923
1.52

finishing

TSC Backa Topola+0.00on par
Radnicki 1923+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

TSC Backa Topola ↓

Radnicki 1923 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
31%69%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

TSC Backa Topola or draw
73%
TSC Backa Topola or Radnicki 1923
76%
Draw or Radnicki 1923
51%

Winning margin

TSC Backa Topola wins by 2+
26%
Radnicki 1923 wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

TSC Backa Topola 1+ goals
81%
TSC Backa Topola 2+ goals
49%
TSC Backa Topola 3+ goals
23%
Radnicki 1923 1+ goals
69%
Radnicki 1923 2+ goals
32%
Radnicki 1923 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

TSC Backa Topola (draw refunded)
65%
Radnicki 1923 (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

TSC Backa Topola at home — creates 1.80, concedes 1.17 · 128 matches

Radnicki 1923 away — creates 1.15, concedes 1.52 · 94 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

TSC Backa Topola attack 1.80 + Radnicki 1923 defence 1.52 → ÷2 → 1.66

Radnicki 1923 attack 1.15 + TSC Backa Topola defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

TSC Backa Topola scores more
49%
level
24%
Radnicki 1923 scores more
27%

TSC Backa Topola at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "TSC Backa Topola will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: TSC Backa Topola vs Radnicki 1923

TSC Backa Topola and Radnicki 1923 drew 0-0 in Super Liga on March 22, 2026.

The match was played at TSC Arena.