Tromsdalen Uil 1–1 Levanger: Result & Stats

Tromsdalen Uil

FT

1 – 1

HT: 1 – 0

Levanger

I. K. Selnes 44'

A. Teigen 58'

6/7/2025

2. Division - Group 2 · Group 2 - 9TUIL arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 58+ matches

Tromsdalen Uil46%

×Draw22%

Levanger32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tromsdalen UilExpected goals in this matchLevanger

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.91

1.57

Tromsdalen Uil

1.91

Levanger

1.57

Tromsdalen Uil creates 22% more chances

Season form · 58 home / 66 away

2.38

creates per match

2.05

1.10

allows per match

1.44

creates per match

Tromsdalen Uil

2.38

Levanger

2.05

allows per match

Tromsdalen Uil

1.10

Levanger

1.44

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Tromsdalen Uil+0.00on par

Levanger+0.00on par

Total goals

Over67
Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes67
No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tromsdalen Uil ↓

Levanger →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–15%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–19%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–34%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

67%33%3.5

46%54%4.5

27%73%

Double chance

Tromsdalen Uil or draw

68%

Tromsdalen Uil or Levanger

78%

Draw or Levanger

54%

Winning margin

Tromsdalen Uil wins by 2+

25%

Levanger wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

Tromsdalen Uil 1+ goals

85%

Tromsdalen Uil 2+ goals

57%

Tromsdalen Uil 3+ goals

30%

Levanger 1+ goals

79%

Levanger 2+ goals

46%

Levanger 3+ goals

21%

Draw no bet

Tromsdalen Uil (draw refunded)

59%

Levanger (draw refunded)

41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

58%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tromsdalen Uil at home — creates 2.38, concedes 1.10 · 58 matches

Levanger away — creates 2.05, concedes 1.44 · 66 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tromsdalen Uil attack 2.38 + Levanger defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.91

Levanger attack 2.05 + Tromsdalen Uil defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.57

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Tromsdalen Uil scores more

46%

level

22%

Levanger scores more

32%

Tromsdalen Uil at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Tromsdalen Uil will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

44'

I. K. Selnes

58'

A. Teigen

63'

U. Seferi← P. Johansen

63'

A. Sandbukt← E. Skogvoll

63'

S. Nilsen-Modebe← I. K. Selnes

63'

S. Bratvold← J. Seim

76'

I. Adolfsen← K. Swaleh

76'

J. Aas← E. Kolve

76'

T. Olsen← V. Steen

86'

B. Dyrkoren← T. Rekdal

Tromsdalen

Levanger

1

Sveinhaug

2

Pollen

5

Lorentsen

14

▼

Steen

22

Hagbo

3

Bjeglerud

6

▼

Kolve

8

⚽

Teigen

18

Ulstad

17

Hoiseth

31

▼

40

3

4

14

15

13

▼

Rekdal

22

Eliassen

32

▼

Johansen

7

▼

Swaleh

8

▼

Skogvoll

20

⚽

▼

Selnes

Manager: A. Samuelsen

63'▲U. Seferi←▼P. Johansen

63'▲A. Sandbukt←▼E. Skogvoll

63'▲S. Nilsen-Modebe←▼I. K. Selnes

76'▲I. Adolfsen←▼K. Swaleh

86'▲B. Dyrkoren←▼T. Rekdal

Tromsdalen Uil substitutes

12Waltenberg5Hafstad6Hansen9Dyrkoren10Seferi16Johnsgard17Sandbukt19Adolfsen21Nilsen-Modebe

Manager: J. Aas

63'▲S. Bratvold←▼J. Seim

76'▲J. Aas←▼E. Kolve

76'▲T. Olsen←▼V. Steen

Levanger substitutes

9Bratvold10Aas15Mattingsdal16Olsen19Pettersen