Tromsdalen Uil 0–3 Hønefoss: Result & Stats

Tromsdalen Uil

FT

0 – 3

HT: 0 – 1

Hønefoss

S. Holte 71'

O. Wang 56', 22'

5/10/2026

2. Division - Group 2 · Round 6TUIL arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Tromsdalen Uil54%

×Draw20%

Hønefoss26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tromsdalen UilExpected goals in this matchHønefoss

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.29

1.55

Tromsdalen Uil

2.29

Hønefoss

1.55

Tromsdalen Uil creates 48% more chances

Season form · 58 home / 19 away

2.38

creates per match

2.00

1.10

allows per match

2.21

creates per match

Tromsdalen Uil

2.38

Hønefoss

2.00

allows per match

Tromsdalen Uil

1.10

Hønefoss

2.21

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Tromsdalen Uil+0.00on par

Hønefoss+0.00on par

Total goals

Over73
Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes71
No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tromsdalen Uil ↓

Hønefoss →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–13%

0–23%

0–31%

0–41%

1

1–05%

1–18%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–34%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–17%

3–25%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–14%

4–23%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

89%11%2.5

73%27%3.5

53%47%4.5

33%67%

Double chance

Tromsdalen Uil or draw

74%

Tromsdalen Uil or Hønefoss

80%

Draw or Hønefoss

46%

Winning margin

Tromsdalen Uil wins by 2+

33%

Hønefoss wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Tromsdalen Uil 1+ goals

90%

Tromsdalen Uil 2+ goals

66%

Tromsdalen Uil 3+ goals

40%

Hønefoss 1+ goals

79%

Hønefoss 2+ goals

46%

Hønefoss 3+ goals

20%

Draw no bet

Tromsdalen Uil (draw refunded)

68%

Hønefoss (draw refunded)

32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

63%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tromsdalen Uil at home — creates 2.38, concedes 1.10 · 58 matches

Hønefoss away — creates 2.00, concedes 2.21 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tromsdalen Uil attack 2.38 + Hønefoss defence 2.21 → ÷2 → 2.29

Hønefoss attack 2.00 + Tromsdalen Uil defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.55

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Tromsdalen Uil scores more

54%

level

20%

Hønefoss scores more

26%

Tromsdalen Uil at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Tromsdalen Uil will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

22'

O. Wang

56'

O. Wang

71'

S. Holte

Tromsdalen

Hønefoss

26

Byttingsv

4

⚽

5

6

14

7

⚽2

8

15

11

19

22

1

3

5

17

21

13

32

7

9

10

16

Manager: Alexander Samuelsen

Tromsdalen Uil substitutes

12Kristiansen4Laugsand6Elvebu8Skogvoll14Lysakerrud19Adolfsen20Selnes28Svendsen31Kristoffersen

Hønefoss substitutes

1Eggen3Rydje17Frohaug18Kyvik20Etholm30Sorensen

2. Division - Group 2: Tromsdalen Uil 0–3 Hønefoss

Hønefoss beat Tromsdalen Uil 3-0 in 2. Division - Group 2 on May 10, 2026.

Goals: O. Wang (22', 56'), S. Holte (71').

The match was played at TUIL arena.

Tromsdalen Uil vs Hønefoss — 2. Division - Group 2 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

2. Division - Group 2: Tromsdalen Uil 0–3 Hønefoss