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Trinidad and Tobago W vs Jamaica W — Friendlies Women 2026

Trinidad and Tobago W
Trinidad and Tobago W
FT
1 – 4
HT: 1 – 1
Jamaica W
Jamaica W
N. Gosine 13'
J. Brown 84', 11'
T. Harris 67'
N. Thomas 52'
10/29/2025Friendlies WomenFriendlies Women · Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Trinidad and Tobago W40%
×Draw26%
Jamaica W33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Trinidad and Tobago W
1.38
Jamaica W
1.23

Trinidad and Tobago W creates 12% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 20 away

creates per match

Trinidad and Tobago W
0.40
Jamaica W
0.65

allows per match

Trinidad and Tobago W
1.80
Jamaica W
2.35

finishing

Trinidad and Tobago W+0.00on par
Jamaica W+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Trinidad and Tobago W ↓

Jamaica W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
27%73%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Trinidad and Tobago W or draw
67%
Trinidad and Tobago W or Jamaica W
74%
Draw or Jamaica W
60%

Winning margin

Trinidad and Tobago W wins by 2+
19%
Jamaica W wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Trinidad and Tobago W 1+ goals
75%
Trinidad and Tobago W 2+ goals
40%
Trinidad and Tobago W 3+ goals
16%
Jamaica W 1+ goals
71%
Jamaica W 2+ goals
35%
Jamaica W 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Trinidad and Tobago W (draw refunded)
55%
Jamaica W (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Trinidad and Tobago W at home — creates 0.40, concedes 1.80 · 5 matches

Jamaica W away — creates 0.65, concedes 2.35 · 20 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Trinidad and Tobago W attack 0.40 + Jamaica W defence 2.35 → ÷2 → 1.38

Jamaica W attack 0.65 + Trinidad and Tobago W defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Trinidad and Tobago W scores more
40%
level
26%
Jamaica W scores more
33%

Trinidad and Tobago W at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Trinidad and Tobago W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

11'
J. Brown
13'
N. Gosine
52'
N. Thomas
67'
T. Harris
84'
J. Brown
Trinidad
Jamaica
R. Hood
Manager: R. Hood
Hubert Busby
Manager: Hubert Busby

Friendlies Women: Trinidad and Tobago W 1–4 Jamaica W

Jamaica W beat Trinidad and Tobago W 4-1 in Friendlies Women on October 29, 2025.

Goals: J. Brown (11', 84'), N. Gosine (13'), N. Thomas (52'), T. Harris (67').