Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Trat FC vs Esan Pattaya — Thai League 2 2018

Trat FC
Trat FC
FT
3 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Esan Pattaya
Esan Pattaya
2/14/2026Thai League 2Thai League 2 · Round 24Trat Provincial Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 51+ matches

Trat FC50%
×Draw25%
Esan Pattaya25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Trat FC
1.57
Esan Pattaya
1.02

Trat FC creates 54% more chances

Season form · 84 home / 51 away

creates per match

Trat FC
1.87
Esan Pattaya
1.10

allows per match

Trat FC
0.93
Esan Pattaya
1.27

finishing

Trat FC+0.00on par
Esan Pattaya+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Trat FC ↓

Esan Pattaya →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Trat FC or draw
75%
Trat FC or Esan Pattaya
75%
Draw or Esan Pattaya
50%

Winning margin

Trat FC wins by 2+
26%
Esan Pattaya wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Trat FC 1+ goals
79%
Trat FC 2+ goals
46%
Trat FC 3+ goals
21%
Esan Pattaya 1+ goals
64%
Esan Pattaya 2+ goals
27%
Esan Pattaya 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Trat FC (draw refunded)
67%
Esan Pattaya (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Trat FC at home — creates 1.87, concedes 0.93 · 84 matches

Esan Pattaya away — creates 1.10, concedes 1.27 · 51 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Trat FC attack 1.87 + Esan Pattaya defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.57

Esan Pattaya attack 1.10 + Trat FC defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Trat FC scores more
50%
level
25%
Esan Pattaya scores more
25%

Trat FC at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Trat FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Trat FC vs Esan Pattaya

Trat FC beat Esan Pattaya 3-0 in Thai League 2 on February 14, 2026.

The match was played at Trat Provincial Stadium in Trat.