Traiskirchen 3–6 Neusiedl: Result & Stats

Traiskirchen

FT

3 – 6

HT: 1 – 4

Neusiedl

B. Maierhofer 68'

M. Huber 56'

L. Makrisevic 40'

M. Rigo 89'

M. Tercek 61'

D. Markl 45', 39' (pen), 23'

A. Prenqi 42'

5/9/2025

Regionalliga - Ost · Ost - 26ARBÖ-Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 104+ matches

Traiskirchen47%

×Draw22%

Neusiedl31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

TraiskirchenExpected goals in this matchNeusiedl

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.88

1.48

Traiskirchen

1.88

Neusiedl

1.48

Traiskirchen creates 27% more chances

Season form · 104 home / 106 away

1.86

creates per match

1.39

1.58

allows per match

1.89

creates per match

Traiskirchen

1.86

Neusiedl

1.39

allows per match

Traiskirchen

1.58

Neusiedl

1.89

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Traiskirchen+0.00on par

Neusiedl+0.00on par

Total goals

Over65
Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes65
No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Traiskirchen ↓

Neusiedl →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–15%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–110%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

85%15%2.5

65%35%3.5

43%57%4.5

25%75%

Double chance

Traiskirchen or draw

69%

Traiskirchen or Neusiedl

78%

Draw or Neusiedl

53%

Winning margin

Traiskirchen wins by 2+

26%

Neusiedl wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Traiskirchen 1+ goals

85%

Traiskirchen 2+ goals

56%

Traiskirchen 3+ goals

29%

Neusiedl 1+ goals

77%

Neusiedl 2+ goals

43%

Neusiedl 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Traiskirchen (draw refunded)

61%

Neusiedl (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

56%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Traiskirchen at home — creates 1.86, concedes 1.58 · 104 matches

Neusiedl away — creates 1.39, concedes 1.89 · 106 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Traiskirchen attack 1.86 + Neusiedl defence 1.89 → ÷2 → 1.88

Neusiedl attack 1.39 + Traiskirchen defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Traiskirchen scores more

47%

level

22%

Neusiedl scores more

31%

Traiskirchen at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Traiskirchen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

23'

D. Markl

39'

D. MarklPenalty

40'

42'

45'

56'

61'

68'

70'

M. Vlna← E. Tarzi

75'

S. Schimandl← L. Makrisevic

89'

M. Rigo

90+2'

R. Fischer← M. Huber

90+2'

Matej Maas← A. Prenqi

Traiskirchen

Neusiedl

⚽

⚽

⚽3

⚽

▼

▼

⚽

⚽

▼

⚽

▼

Makrisevi

Koppenste

Manager: S. Horniatschek

75'▲S. Schimandl←▼L. Makrisevic

90+2'▲R. Fischer←▼M. Huber

Traiskirchen substitutes

SchimandlFischerMirkovicProsicBilandzijaArifi

Manager: S. Rapp

70'▲M. Vlna←▼E. Tarzi

90+2'▲Matej Maas←▼A. Prenqi

Neusiedl substitutes

VlnaMaasMödlhammerShoushaMaas

Regionalliga - Ost: Traiskirchen 3–6 Neusiedl

Neusiedl beat Traiskirchen 6-3 in Regionalliga - Ost on May 9, 2025.

Goals: D. Markl (23', 39' pen, 45'), L. Makrisevic (40'), A. Prenqi (42'), M. Huber (56'), M. Tercek (61'), B. Maierhofer (68'), M. Rigo (89').

The match was played at ARBÖ-Arena in Traiskirchen.

Traiskirchen vs Neusiedl — Regionalliga - Ost 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Regionalliga - Ost: Traiskirchen 3–6 Neusiedl