Scoreo

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 17+ matches

Toulouse 42%Draw 24%34% Marseille
1.56Expected xG1.39

Over / Under 2.5

56%

Over

44%

Under

Both Score

59%

Yes

41%

No

Most Likely Scores

1-1

11%

2-1

9%

1-0

8%

xG Profile (17 home / 17 away matches)

Toulouse

xG 1.52 · xGA 1.18

-0.05 vs xG

Marseille

xG 1.6 · xGA 1.59

-0.31 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Toulouse vs MarseilleLigue 1 2026

Ligue 1Ligue 1·2026📍Stadium de Toulouse
Toulouse
Toulouse
FT
01
HT: 01
Marseille
Marseille
Date
Mar 7, 2026, 8:05 PM
Tournament
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25
Referee
B. Dechepy
Venue
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Toulouse

Over / Under 2.5

51%over 2.5
  • Over 2.52151%
  • Under 2.52049%

Both teams scored

56%BTTS
  • Yes2356%
  • No1844%

Marseille

Over / Under 2.5

70%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53370%
  • Under 2.51430%

Both teams scored

53%BTTS
  • Yes2553%
  • No2247%

Possession

49%Toulouse

Shots

12Toulouse

Pass accuracy

50%Toulouse

Statistics

ToulouseMarseille
Overview
49%Possession51%
12Total Shots10
0.91Expected Goals (xG)1.13
4Corners2
15Fouls14
Shots
12Total Shots10
2On Target3
7Off Target6
3Blocked1
9Inside Box7
3Outside Box3
Passing
49%Possession51%
438Total Passes461
363Accurate Passes386
83%Pass Accuracy84%
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
0.43Goals Prevented0.43
Discipline
15Fouls14
2Yellow Cards3
3Offsides1

Ligue 1: Toulouse 0–1 Marseille

Marseille beat Toulouse 1-0 in Ligue 1 on March 7, 2026.

Goals: M. Greenwood (18').

Marseille controlled possession (51%) and registered 10 shots to 12.

The match was played at Stadium de Toulouse in Toulouse.