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Torpedo Zhodino vs Slavia Mozyr — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Torpedo Zhodino
Torpedo Zhodino
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Slavia Mozyr
Slavia Mozyr
1/20/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadyen Tarpeda Iskusstvennoe pole

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Torpedo Zhodino40%
×Draw32%
Slavia Mozyr28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Torpedo Zhodino
1.06
Slavia Mozyr
0.83

Torpedo Zhodino creates 28% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 6 away

creates per match

Torpedo Zhodino
1.13
Slavia Mozyr
0.67

allows per match

Torpedo Zhodino
1.00
Slavia Mozyr
1.00

finishing

Torpedo Zhodino+0.00on par
Slavia Mozyr+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Under
  • Under71
  • Over29

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Torpedo Zhodino ↓

Slavia Mozyr →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–015%
0–113%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–08%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
56%44%2.5
29%71%3.5
12%88%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Torpedo Zhodino or draw
72%
Torpedo Zhodino or Slavia Mozyr
68%
Draw or Slavia Mozyr
60%

Winning margin

Torpedo Zhodino wins by 2+
16%
Slavia Mozyr wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Torpedo Zhodino 1+ goals
65%
Torpedo Zhodino 2+ goals
29%
Torpedo Zhodino 3+ goals
9%
Slavia Mozyr 1+ goals
56%
Slavia Mozyr 2+ goals
20%
Slavia Mozyr 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Torpedo Zhodino (draw refunded)
59%
Slavia Mozyr (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Torpedo Zhodino at home — creates 1.13, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

Slavia Mozyr away — creates 0.67, concedes 1.00 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Torpedo Zhodino attack 1.13 + Slavia Mozyr defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.06

Slavia Mozyr attack 0.67 + Torpedo Zhodino defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Torpedo Zhodino scores more
40%
level
32%
Slavia Mozyr scores more
28%

Torpedo Zhodino at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Torpedo Zhodino will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Torpedo Zhodino 1–0 Slavia Mozyr

Torpedo Zhodino beat Slavia Mozyr 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 20, 2024.

The match was played at Stadyen Tarpeda Iskusstvennoe pole in Zhodino.