Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Torpedo Moskva U19 vs CSKA Moskva U19 — Youth Championship 2026

Torpedo Moskva U19
Torpedo Moskva U19
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
CSKA Moskva U19
CSKA Moskva U19
D. Antsiperov 57'
Y. Dol 63'
9/30/2022Youth ChampionshipYouth Championship · Round 12Stadion Avangard

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Torpedo Moskva U1924%
×Draw23%
CSKA Moskva U1952%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Torpedo Moskva U19
1.16
CSKA Moskva U19
1.81

CSKA Moskva U19 creates 56% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 81 away

creates per match

Torpedo Moskva U19
1.21
CSKA Moskva U19
2.25

allows per match

Torpedo Moskva U19
1.36
CSKA Moskva U19
1.10

finishing

Torpedo Moskva U19+0.00on par
CSKA Moskva U19+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Torpedo Moskva U19 ↓

CSKA Moskva U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–19%
0–28%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–26%
2–33%
2–42%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
57%43%3.5
34%66%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Torpedo Moskva U19 or draw
48%
Torpedo Moskva U19 or CSKA Moskva U19
77%
Draw or CSKA Moskva U19
76%

Winning margin

Torpedo Moskva U19 wins by 2+
10%
CSKA Moskva U19 wins by 2+
29%

Team goals

Torpedo Moskva U19 1+ goals
69%
Torpedo Moskva U19 2+ goals
32%
Torpedo Moskva U19 3+ goals
11%
CSKA Moskva U19 1+ goals
84%
CSKA Moskva U19 2+ goals
54%
CSKA Moskva U19 3+ goals
27%

Draw no bet

Torpedo Moskva U19 (draw refunded)
32%
CSKA Moskva U19 (draw refunded)
68%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Torpedo Moskva U19 at home — creates 1.21, concedes 1.36 · 14 matches

CSKA Moskva U19 away — creates 2.25, concedes 1.10 · 81 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Torpedo Moskva U19 attack 1.21 + CSKA Moskva U19 defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.16

CSKA Moskva U19 attack 2.25 + Torpedo Moskva U19 defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.81

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Torpedo Moskva U19 scores more
24%
level
23%
CSKA Moskva U19 scores more
52%

CSKA Moskva U19 at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "CSKA Moskva U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

57'
D. Antsiperov
63'
Y. Dol

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Torpedo Moskva U19 vs CSKA Moskva U19

Torpedo Moskva U19 and CSKA Moskva U19 drew 1-1 in Youth Championship on September 30, 2022.

Goals: D. Antsiperov (57'), Y. Dol (63').

The match was played at Stadion Avangard in Domodedovo.