Torino 1–1 Sassuolo: Result & Stats | Serie A

Torino

FT

1 – 1

HT: 1 – 0

Sassuolo

A. Sanabria 16'

G. Raspadori 88'

1/23/2022

Serie A · Round 23Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 31+ matches

Torino41%

×Draw25%

Sassuolo34%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

TorinoExpected goals in this matchSassuolo

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.46

1.30

Torino

1.46

Sassuolo

1.30

Torino creates 12% more chances

Season form · 31 home / 31 away

1.22

creates per match

1.15

1.46

allows per match

1.70

creates per match

Torino

1.22

Sassuolo

1.15

allows per match

Torino

1.46

Sassuolo

1.70

+0.01on par

finishing

-0.12scores less than expected

finishing

Torino+0.01on par

Sassuolo-0.12scores less

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Torino ↓

Sassuolo →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

30%70%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Torino or draw

66%

Torino or Sassuolo

75%

Draw or Sassuolo

59%

Winning margin

Torino wins by 2+

20%

Sassuolo wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

Torino 1+ goals

77%

Torino 2+ goals

43%

Torino 3+ goals

18%

Sassuolo 1+ goals

73%

Sassuolo 2+ goals

37%

Sassuolo 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Torino (draw refunded)

55%

Sassuolo (draw refunded)

45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

44%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Torino at home — creates 1.22, concedes 1.46 · 31 matches

Sassuolo away — creates 1.15, concedes 1.70 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Torino attack 1.22 + Sassuolo defence 1.70 → ÷2 → 1.46

Sassuolo attack 1.15 + Torino defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Torino scores more

41%

level

25%

Sassuolo scores more

34%

Torino at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Torino will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

17

W. Singo

Torino · M

7.9

Match Events

16'

A. Sanabria↳ W. Singo

46'

51'

55'

62'

63'

63'

70'

70'

T. Pobega← R. Mandragora

75'

Tommaso Pobega

85'

D. Baselli← D. Praet

86'

Davide Frattesi

88'

G. Raspadori↳ D. Berardi

90'

Ruan← G. Raspadori

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

TorinoSassuolo

Overview

50%Possession50%

21Total Shots6

4Corners3

21Fouls15

Shots

21Total Shots6

6On Target1

10Off Target2

5Blocked3

13Inside Box3

8Outside Box3

Passing

50%Possession50%

405Total Passes409

319Accurate Passes307

79%Pass Accuracy75%

Goalkeeping

0Saves5

Discipline

21Fouls15

3Yellow Cards3

5Offsides1

Serie A: Torino 1–1 Sassuolo

Torino and Sassuolo drew 1-1 in Serie A on January 23, 2022.

Goals: A. Sanabria (16'), G. Raspadori (88').

Torino controlled possession (50%) and registered 21 shots to 6.

The match was played at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino in Torino.

Torino vs Sassuolo — Serie A 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Serie A: Torino 1–1 Sassuolo