Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Thanh Hóa vs Sanna Khanh Hoa — V.League 1 2019

Thanh Hóa
Thanh Hóa
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Sanna Khanh Hoa
Sanna Khanh Hoa
6/19/2024V.League 1V.League 1 · Round 24Sân vận động Thanh Hóa

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 35+ matches

Thanh Hóa48%
×Draw25%
Sanna Khanh Hoa27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Thanh Hóa
1.61
Sanna Khanh Hoa
1.13

Thanh Hóa creates 42% more chances

Season form · 92 home / 35 away

creates per match

Thanh Hóa
1.43
Sanna Khanh Hoa
0.91

allows per match

Thanh Hóa
1.34
Sanna Khanh Hoa
1.80

finishing

Thanh Hóa+0.00on par
Sanna Khanh Hoa+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Thanh Hóa ↓

Sanna Khanh Hoa →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Thanh Hóa or draw
73%
Thanh Hóa or Sanna Khanh Hoa
75%
Draw or Sanna Khanh Hoa
52%

Winning margin

Thanh Hóa wins by 2+
25%
Sanna Khanh Hoa wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Thanh Hóa 1+ goals
80%
Thanh Hóa 2+ goals
48%
Thanh Hóa 3+ goals
22%
Sanna Khanh Hoa 1+ goals
68%
Sanna Khanh Hoa 2+ goals
31%
Sanna Khanh Hoa 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Thanh Hóa (draw refunded)
64%
Sanna Khanh Hoa (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Thanh Hóa at home — creates 1.43, concedes 1.34 · 92 matches

Sanna Khanh Hoa away — creates 0.91, concedes 1.80 · 35 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Thanh Hóa attack 1.43 + Sanna Khanh Hoa defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.61

Sanna Khanh Hoa attack 0.91 + Thanh Hóa defence 1.34 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Thanh Hóa scores more
48%
level
25%
Sanna Khanh Hoa scores more
27%

Thanh Hóa at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Thanh Hóa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Thanh Hóa vs Sanna Khanh Hoa

Thanh Hóa and Sanna Khanh Hoa drew 1-1 in V.League 1 on June 19, 2024.

The match was played at Sân vận động Thanh Hóa in Thanh Hóa.