Thailand 2–2 Kuwait: Result & Stats | Friendlies

Thailand

FT

2 – 2

HT: 2 – 0

Kuwait

K. Kaman 45'

S. Ratree 42'

E. Al Rashedi 69'

Y. Majed 48'

6/5/2026

Friendlies · Friendly InternationalTrue BG Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Thailand61%

×Draw24%

Kuwait16%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

ThailandExpected goals in this matchKuwait

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.71

0.73

Thailand

1.71

Kuwait

0.73

Thailand creates 134% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 12 away

1.50

creates per match

0.58

0.88

allows per match

1.92

creates per match

Thailand

1.50

Kuwait

0.58

allows per match

Thailand

0.88

Kuwait

1.92

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Thailand+0.00on par

Kuwait+0.00on par

Total goals

Under56
Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No58
Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Thailand ↓

Kuwait →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–16%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–111%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–15%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

70%30%2.5

44%56%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Thailand or draw

84%

Thailand or Kuwait

76%

Draw or Kuwait

39%

Winning margin

Thailand wins by 2+

34%

Kuwait wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Thailand 1+ goals

82%

Thailand 2+ goals

51%

Thailand 3+ goals

24%

Kuwait 1+ goals

52%

Kuwait 2+ goals

17%

Kuwait 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Thailand (draw refunded)

80%

Kuwait (draw refunded)

20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Thailand at home — creates 1.50, concedes 0.88 · 16 matches

Kuwait away — creates 0.58, concedes 1.92 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Thailand attack 1.50 + Kuwait defence 1.92 → ÷2 → 1.71

Kuwait attack 0.58 + Thailand defence 0.88 → ÷2 → 0.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Thailand scores more

61%

level

24%

Kuwait scores more

16%

Thailand at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Thailand will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

22

S. Ratree

Thailand · M

7.6

Match Events

15'

Sarach Yooyen

42'

S. Ratree↳ S. Yooyen

45'

K. Kaman

46'

E. Garnier← S. Ratree

46'

T. Pruetong← S. Sareepim

46'

J. Soonsup-Bell← T. Poeiphimai

48'

Y. Majed↳ N. Faleh

55'

Jude Soonsup-Bell

59'

W. Pomphan← S. Yooyen

59'

T. Dangda← A. Yodsangwal

61'

A. Al Qarzaei← J. Al Mutar

61'

E. Al Rashedi← Y. Majed

68'

R. Hani← K. Al Mershed

68'

S. Al Khaldi← Y. Nasser

69'

E. Al Rashedi

77'

M. Khaled← M. Daham

77'

M. Dashti← M. Al Dhafiri

77'

F. Al Hajeri← K. Al Fadhli

78'

A. Al Awadi← N. Faleh

81'

T. Puangchan← K. Kaman

81'

N. Weerawatnodom← W. Choolthong

82'

Abdullah Al Qarzaei

90+1'

P. Akkratum← M. Bihr

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

ThailandKuwait

Overview

52%Possession48%

12Total Shots6

5Corners1

15Fouls7

Shots

12Total Shots6

6On Target3

5Off Target3

1Blocked0

6Inside Box4

6Outside Box2

Passing

52%Possession48%

413Total Passes385

350Accurate Passes314

85%Pass Accuracy82%

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

Discipline

15Fouls7

2Yellow Cards1

4Offsides1