Thailand U19 9–0 Brunei U19: Result & Stats

Thailand U19

FT

9 – 0

HT: 5 – 0

Brunei U19

N. Phosri 89'

K. Thuamthongdee 69'

S. Ponsan 53', 50'

P. Kongsri 41' (pen)

P. Buransuk 37', 27', 24'

I. Tippanet 7'

6/2/2026

AFF U19 Championship · Group Stage - 1Stadion Teladan

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Thailand U1995%

×Draw4%

Brunei U191%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Thailand U19Expected goals in this matchBrunei U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

4.31

0.38

Thailand U19

4.31

Brunei U19

0.38

Thailand U19 creates 1034% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 7 away

2.63

creates per match

0.00

0.75

allows per match

6.00

creates per match

Thailand U19

2.63

Brunei U19

0.00

allows per match

Thailand U19

0.75

Brunei U19

6.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Thailand U19+0.00on par

Brunei U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over82
Under18

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No69
Yes31

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Thailand U19 ↓

Brunei U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–10%

0–20%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–05%

1–12%

1–20%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–14%

2–21%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–014%

3–15%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–015%

4–16%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 4–0 (15%) · grid covers 67% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

94%6%2.5

82%18%3.5

64%36%4.5

42%58%

Double chance

Thailand U19 or draw

99%

Thailand U19 or Brunei U19

96%

Draw or Brunei U19

5%

Winning margin

Thailand U19 wins by 2+

86%

Brunei U19 wins by 2+

0%

Team goals

Thailand U19 1+ goals

98%

Thailand U19 2+ goals

92%

Thailand U19 3+ goals

77%

Brunei U19 1+ goals

32%

Brunei U19 2+ goals

6%

Brunei U19 3+ goals

1%

Draw no bet

Thailand U19 (draw refunded)

99%

Brunei U19 (draw refunded)

1%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

29%

Both score & under 3

2%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Thailand U19 at home — creates 2.63, concedes 0.75 · 8 matches

Brunei U19 away — creates 0.00, concedes 6.00 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Thailand U19 attack 2.63 + Brunei U19 defence 6.00 → ÷2 → 4.31

Brunei U19 attack 0.00 + Thailand U19 defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 95%?"

Thailand U19 scores more

95%

level

4%

Brunei U19 scores more

1%

Thailand U19 at 95% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 95% does not mean "Thailand U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

7'

24'

27'

37'

41'

P. KongsriPenalty

50'

53'

69'

89'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff