Terrassa 0–0 Sant Andreu: Result & Stats

Terrassa

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Sant Andreu

11/16/2025

League #877 · Group 3 - 11Estadi Olímpic de Terrassa

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Terrassa12%

×Draw32%

Sant Andreu56%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

TerrassaExpected goals in this matchSant Andreu

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.38

1.17

Terrassa

0.38

Sant Andreu

1.17

Sant Andreu creates 208% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 4 away

0.50

creates per match

1.00

1.33

allows per match

0.25

creates per match

Terrassa

0.50

Sant Andreu

1.00

allows per match

Terrassa

1.33

Sant Andreu

0.25

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Terrassa+0.00on par

Sant Andreu+0.00on par

Total goals

Under80
Over20

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No78
Yes22

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Terrassa ↓

Sant Andreu →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–021%

0–125%

0–215%

0–36%

0–42%

1

1–08%

1–19%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–02%

2–12%

2–21%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–00%

3–10%

3–20%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (25%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

79%21%1.5

46%54%2.5

20%80%3.5

7%93%4.5

2%98%

Double chance

Terrassa or draw

44%

Terrassa or Sant Andreu

68%

Draw or Sant Andreu

88%

Winning margin

Terrassa wins by 2+

2%

Sant Andreu wins by 2+

25%

Team goals

Terrassa 1+ goals

32%

Terrassa 2+ goals

6%

Terrassa 3+ goals

1%

Sant Andreu 1+ goals

69%

Sant Andreu 2+ goals

33%

Sant Andreu 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Terrassa (draw refunded)

18%

Sant Andreu (draw refunded)

82%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

12%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Terrassa at home — creates 0.50, concedes 1.33 · 6 matches

Sant Andreu away — creates 1.00, concedes 0.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Terrassa attack 0.50 + Sant Andreu defence 0.25 → ÷2 → 0.38

Sant Andreu attack 1.00 + Terrassa defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Terrassa scores more

12%

level

32%

Sant Andreu scores more

56%

Sant Andreu at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Sant Andreu will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff