Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Terengganu vs Johor Darul Takzim FC — Malaysia Cup 2019

Terengganu
Terengganu
FT
0 – 4
HT: 0 – 1
Johor Darul Takzim FC
Johor Darul Takzim FCadvanced
1/17/2025Malaysia CupMalaysia Cup · Semi-finalsSultan Mizan Zainal Abidin Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

Terengganu27%
×Draw22%
Johor Darul Takzim FC50%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Terengganu
1.36
Johor Darul Takzim FC
1.92

Johor Darul Takzim FC creates 41% more chances

Season form · 21 home / 24 away

creates per match

Terengganu
2.14
Johor Darul Takzim FC
2.88

allows per match

Terengganu
0.95
Johor Darul Takzim FC
0.58

finishing

Terengganu+0.00on par
Johor Darul Takzim FC+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Terengganu ↓

Johor Darul Takzim FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–27%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–05%
1–110%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Terengganu or draw
50%
Terengganu or Johor Darul Takzim FC
78%
Draw or Johor Darul Takzim FC
73%

Winning margin

Terengganu wins by 2+
12%
Johor Darul Takzim FC wins by 2+
29%

Team goals

Terengganu 1+ goals
74%
Terengganu 2+ goals
39%
Terengganu 3+ goals
16%
Johor Darul Takzim FC 1+ goals
85%
Johor Darul Takzim FC 2+ goals
57%
Johor Darul Takzim FC 3+ goals
30%

Draw no bet

Terengganu (draw refunded)
35%
Johor Darul Takzim FC (draw refunded)
65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Terengganu at home — creates 2.14, concedes 0.95 · 21 matches

Johor Darul Takzim FC away — creates 2.88, concedes 0.58 · 24 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Terengganu attack 2.14 + Johor Darul Takzim FC defence 0.58 → ÷2 → 1.36

Johor Darul Takzim FC attack 2.88 + Terengganu defence 0.95 → ÷2 → 1.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Terengganu scores more
27%
level
22%
Johor Darul Takzim FC scores more
50%

Johor Darul Takzim FC at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Johor Darul Takzim FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Malaysia Cup: Terengganu 0–4 Johor Darul Takzim FC

Johor Darul Takzim FC beat Terengganu 4-0 in Malaysia Cup on January 17, 2025.

The match was played at Sultan Mizan Zainal Abidin Stadium in Kuala Terengganu.