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Tenax vs Whawha — Premier Soccer League 2026

Tenax
Tenax
FT
2 – 2
Whawha
Whawha
11/27/2021Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 2Sakubva Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Tenax51%
×Draw27%
Whawha23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Tenax
1.47
Whawha
0.88

Tenax creates 67% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 17 away

creates per match

Tenax
0.65
Whawha
0.35

allows per match

Tenax
1.41
Whawha
2.29

finishing

Tenax+0.00on par
Whawha+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Under
  • Under58
  • Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tenax ↓

Whawha →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–112%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
68%32%2.5
42%58%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Tenax or draw
77%
Tenax or Whawha
73%
Draw or Whawha
49%

Winning margin

Tenax wins by 2+
26%
Whawha wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Tenax 1+ goals
77%
Tenax 2+ goals
43%
Tenax 3+ goals
18%
Whawha 1+ goals
59%
Whawha 2+ goals
22%
Whawha 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Tenax (draw refunded)
69%
Whawha (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tenax at home — creates 0.65, concedes 1.41 · 17 matches

Whawha away — creates 0.35, concedes 2.29 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tenax attack 0.65 + Whawha defence 2.29 → ÷2 → 1.47

Whawha attack 0.35 + Tenax defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Tenax scores more
51%
level
27%
Whawha scores more
23%

Tenax at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Tenax will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Tenax 2 – 2 Whawha

Tenax and Whawha drew 2-2 in Premier Soccer League on November 27, 2021.

The match was played at Sakubva Stadium in Mutare.