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Tenax vs Platinum — Premier Soccer League 2026

Tenax
Tenax
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Platinum
Platinum
6/26/2022Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 18Sakubva Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Tenax21%
×Draw31%
Platinum48%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Tenax
0.67
Platinum
1.17

Platinum creates 75% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 96 away

creates per match

Tenax
0.65
Platinum
0.93

allows per match

Tenax
1.41
Platinum
0.68

finishing

Tenax+0.00on par
Platinum+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Under
  • Under72
  • Over28

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

66%No
  • No66
  • Yes34

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tenax ↓

Platinum →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–016%
0–119%
0–211%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–04%
2–14%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (19%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
84%16%1.5
55%45%2.5
28%72%3.5
12%88%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Tenax or draw
52%
Tenax or Platinum
69%
Draw or Platinum
79%

Winning margin

Tenax wins by 2+
6%
Platinum wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Tenax 1+ goals
49%
Tenax 2+ goals
15%
Tenax 3+ goals
3%
Platinum 1+ goals
69%
Platinum 2+ goals
33%
Platinum 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Tenax (draw refunded)
31%
Platinum (draw refunded)
69%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
21%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tenax at home — creates 0.65, concedes 1.41 · 17 matches

Platinum away — creates 0.93, concedes 0.68 · 96 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tenax attack 0.65 + Platinum defence 0.68 → ÷2 → 0.67

Platinum attack 0.93 + Tenax defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Tenax scores more
21%
level
31%
Platinum scores more
48%

Platinum at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Platinum will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Tenax vs Platinum

Platinum beat Tenax 2-0 in Premier Soccer League on June 26, 2022.

The match was played at Sakubva Stadium in Mutare.