Tekstilac Odžaci 0–2 Zemun: Result & Stats

Tekstilac Odžaci

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 2

Zemun

I. Ostojic 42'

L. Milosev 21'

8/31/2025

Prva Liga · Round 6Gradski stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 39+ matches

Tekstilac Odžaci45%

×Draw27%

Zemun28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tekstilac OdžaciExpected goals in this matchZemun

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.38

1.01

Tekstilac Odžaci

1.38

Zemun

1.01

Tekstilac Odžaci creates 37% more chances

Season form · 39 home / 67 away

1.54

creates per match

0.91

1.10

allows per match

1.21

creates per match

Tekstilac Odžaci

1.54

Zemun

0.91

allows per match

Tekstilac Odžaci

1.10

Zemun

1.21

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Tekstilac Odžaci+0.00on par

Zemun+0.00on par

Total goals

Under57
Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No52
Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tekstilac Odžaci ↓

Zemun →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

43%57%3.5

22%78%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Tekstilac Odžaci or draw

72%

Tekstilac Odžaci or Zemun

73%

Draw or Zemun

55%

Winning margin

Tekstilac Odžaci wins by 2+

22%

Zemun wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Tekstilac Odžaci 1+ goals

75%

Tekstilac Odžaci 2+ goals

40%

Tekstilac Odžaci 3+ goals

16%

Zemun 1+ goals

64%

Zemun 2+ goals

27%

Zemun 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Tekstilac Odžaci (draw refunded)

62%

Zemun (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

35%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tekstilac Odžaci at home — creates 1.54, concedes 1.10 · 39 matches

Zemun away — creates 0.91, concedes 1.21 · 67 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tekstilac Odžaci attack 1.54 + Zemun defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.38

Zemun attack 0.91 + Tekstilac Odžaci defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.01

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Tekstilac Odžaci scores more

45%

level

27%

Zemun scores more

28%

Tekstilac Odžaci at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Tekstilac Odžaci will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

21'

38'

42'

43'

44'

S. Savija← K. Djordjevic

44'

V. Radosavljevic← O. Lausevic

46'

M. Pantic← M. Susnjar

61'

V. Matejic← U. Mojsilovic

64'

L. Radulovic← M. Abiodun

67'

S. Filipovic

67'

S. Knezevic← N. Kalat

67'

D. Petrovic← D. Miladinovic

72'

D. Stojanovic

73'

O. Cvijanovic← L. Milosev

82'

D. Plavsic← M. Jokic

82'

S. Trajkovski← U. Vukicevic

Tekstilac

Zemun

89

Zivkovic

5

Jovanovic

7

Tabakovic

8

▼

Vukicevic

17

▼

Miladinov

18

Vicentije

21

⚽

Ostojic

22

⚽

▼

Milosev

23

▼

Jokic

25

Paradina

31

▼

Kalat

1

Samurovic

8

▼

Susnjar

10

▼

14

20

24

25

26

▼

Djordjevi

28

▼

Mojsilovi

40

▼

Abiodun

41

Filipovic

44'▲S. Savija←▼K. Djordjevic

44'▲V. Radosavljevic←▼O. Lausevic

46'▲M. Pantic←▼M. Susnjar

61'▲V. Matejic←▼U. Mojsilovic

64'▲L. Radulovic←▼M. Abiodun

Tekstilac Odžaci substitutes

92Bosnjak3Vales4Pantic5Etameh6Puskar7Savija9Radulovic15Ferdinand16Radosavljevic21Matejic39Obrenovic

Manager: M. Kuljić

67'▲S. Knezevic←▼N. Kalat

67'▲D. Petrovic←▼D. Miladinovic

73'▲O. Cvijanovic←▼L. Milosev

82'▲D. Plavsic←▼M. Jokic

82'▲S. Trajkovski←▼U. Vukicevic

Zemun substitutes

1Ganic6Plavsic9Petrusic11Knezevic15Trajkovski20Petrovic30Simsic32Ivanovic33Sredojevic77Cvijanovic88Kadijevic