Tekstilac Odžaci 1–2 Loznica: Result & Stats

Tekstilac Odžaci

FT

1 – 2

HT: 1 – 1

Loznica

K. Djordjevic 42' (pen)

S. Stojanovic 58', 36'

3/8/2026

Prva Liga · Round 26Slavko Maletin Vava Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 39+ matches

Tekstilac Odžaci46%

×Draw28%

Loznica26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tekstilac OdžaciExpected goals in this matchLoznica

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.35

0.94

Tekstilac Odžaci

1.35

Loznica

0.94

Tekstilac Odžaci creates 44% more chances

Season form · 39 home / 73 away

1.54

creates per match

0.78

1.10

allows per match

1.16

creates per match

Tekstilac Odžaci

1.54

Loznica

0.78

allows per match

Tekstilac Odžaci

1.10

Loznica

1.16

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Tekstilac Odžaci+0.00on par

Loznica+0.00on par

Total goals

Under60
Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No55
Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tekstilac Odžaci ↓

Loznica →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–110%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

40%60%3.5

20%80%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Tekstilac Odžaci or draw

74%

Tekstilac Odžaci or Loznica

72%

Draw or Loznica

54%

Winning margin

Tekstilac Odžaci wins by 2+

22%

Loznica wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Tekstilac Odžaci 1+ goals

74%

Tekstilac Odžaci 2+ goals

39%

Tekstilac Odžaci 3+ goals

15%

Loznica 1+ goals

61%

Loznica 2+ goals

24%

Loznica 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Tekstilac Odžaci (draw refunded)

64%

Loznica (draw refunded)

36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tekstilac Odžaci at home — creates 1.54, concedes 1.10 · 39 matches

Loznica away — creates 0.78, concedes 1.16 · 73 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tekstilac Odžaci attack 1.54 + Loznica defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.35

Loznica attack 0.78 + Tekstilac Odžaci defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 0.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Tekstilac Odžaci scores more

46%

level

28%

Loznica scores more

26%

Tekstilac Odžaci at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Tekstilac Odžaci will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

36'

S. Stojanovic

42'

K. DjordjevicPenalty

43'

45+1'

58'

60'

67'

67'

N. Krstic← D. Starcevic

70'

L. Radulovic← D. Stojanovic

70'

O. Lausevic← K. Djordjevic

79'

F. Obadovic← S. Stojanovic

87'

N. Krstic

90+2'

L. Malis← S. Purtic

90+2'

S. Trajkovski← M. Jelenic

Tekstilac

Loznica

1

Savic

4

Motika

6

Vujicic

10

▼

18

22

23

24

▼

Jelenic

27

Mitrovic

70

⚽2

▼

Stojanovi

77

▼

1

3

4

7

8

16

17

▼

Zekic

20

▼

Stojanovi

26

⚽

▼

Djordjevi

41

Filipovic

80

▼

Kocic

60'▲L. Vasic←▼B. Kocic

67'▲M. Abiodun←▼M. Zekic

70'▲L. Radulovic←▼D. Stojanovic

70'▲O. Lausevic←▼K. Djordjevic

Tekstilac Odžaci substitutes

92Bosnjak6Puskar9Radulovic10Lausevic14Vasic21Matejic24Filimonovic28Sylla39Obrenovic40Abiodun99Radovic

Manager: Dejan Nikolic

67'▲N. Krstic←▼D. Starcevic

79'▲F. Obadovic←▼S. Stojanovic

90+2'▲L. Malis←▼S. Purtic

90+2'▲S. Trajkovski←▼M. Jelenic

Loznica substitutes

32Lakic7Malis8Jovovic14Susnjar15Aderoju17Trajkovski19Obadovic20Pecelj42Krstic89Petrovic91Kremenovic

Prva Liga: Tekstilac Odžaci 1–2 Loznica

Loznica beat Tekstilac Odžaci 2-1 in Prva Liga on March 8, 2026.

Goals: S. Stojanovic (36', 58'), K. Djordjevic (42' pen).

The match was played at Slavko Maletin Vava Stadium in Backa Palanka.

Tekstilac Odžaci vs Loznica — Prva Liga 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Prva Liga: Tekstilac Odžaci 1–2 Loznica