Techiman Liberty 0–0 VC Warriors: Result & Stats

Techiman Liberty

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

VC Warriors

11/17/2025

Division One League · Round 7

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Techiman Liberty50%

×Draw27%

VC Warriors23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Techiman LibertyExpected goals in this matchVC Warriors

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.42

0.86

Techiman Liberty

1.42

VC Warriors

0.86

Techiman Liberty creates 65% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 14 away

1.71

creates per match

0.86

allows per match

1.14

creates per match

Techiman Liberty

1.71

VC Warriors

0.86

allows per match

Techiman Liberty

0.86

VC Warriors

1.14

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Techiman Liberty+0.00on par

VC Warriors+0.00on par

Total goals

Under60
Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Techiman Liberty ↓

VC Warriors →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–112%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

66%34%2.5

40%60%3.5

20%80%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Techiman Liberty or draw

77%

Techiman Liberty or VC Warriors

73%

Draw or VC Warriors

50%

Winning margin

Techiman Liberty wins by 2+

25%

VC Warriors wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Techiman Liberty 1+ goals

76%

Techiman Liberty 2+ goals

41%

Techiman Liberty 3+ goals

17%

VC Warriors 1+ goals

58%

VC Warriors 2+ goals

21%

VC Warriors 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Techiman Liberty (draw refunded)

69%

VC Warriors (draw refunded)

31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Techiman Liberty at home — creates 1.71, concedes 0.86 · 14 matches

VC Warriors away — creates 0.86, concedes 1.14 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Techiman Liberty attack 1.71 + VC Warriors defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.42

VC Warriors attack 0.86 + Techiman Liberty defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 0.86

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Techiman Liberty scores more

50%

level

27%

VC Warriors scores more

23%

Techiman Liberty at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Techiman Liberty will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff