Techiman Liberty 3–2 Mighty Royals: Result & Stats

Techiman Liberty

FT

3 – 2

HT: 1 – 0

Mighty Royals

3/28/2026

Division One League · Round 24

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Techiman Liberty60%

×Draw22%

Mighty Royals19%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Techiman LibertyExpected goals in this matchMighty Royals

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.93

0.97

Techiman Liberty

1.93

Mighty Royals

0.97

Techiman Liberty creates 99% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 14 away

1.71

creates per match

1.07

0.86

allows per match

2.14

creates per match

Techiman Liberty

1.71

Mighty Royals

1.07

allows per match

Techiman Liberty

0.86

Mighty Royals

2.14

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Techiman Liberty+0.00on par

Mighty Royals+0.00on par

Total goals

Over55
Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Techiman Liberty ↓

Mighty Royals →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–110%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–22%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

55%45%3.5

33%67%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Techiman Liberty or draw

81%

Techiman Liberty or Mighty Royals

78%

Draw or Mighty Royals

40%

Winning margin

Techiman Liberty wins by 2+

35%

Mighty Royals wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Techiman Liberty 1+ goals

85%

Techiman Liberty 2+ goals

57%

Techiman Liberty 3+ goals

30%

Mighty Royals 1+ goals

62%

Mighty Royals 2+ goals

25%

Mighty Royals 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Techiman Liberty (draw refunded)

76%

Mighty Royals (draw refunded)

24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Techiman Liberty at home — creates 1.71, concedes 0.86 · 14 matches

Mighty Royals away — creates 1.07, concedes 2.14 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Techiman Liberty attack 1.71 + Mighty Royals defence 2.14 → ÷2 → 1.93

Mighty Royals attack 1.07 + Techiman Liberty defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Techiman Liberty scores more

60%

level

22%

Mighty Royals scores more

19%

Techiman Liberty at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Techiman Liberty will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff