Team TG FF W 0–2 Häcken II W: Result & Stats

Team TG FF W

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 0

Häcken II W

E. Migas 52'

N. Jensen 48'

8/27/2025

Elitettan · Round 9Umea Energi Arena SOL

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 26+ matches

Team TG FF W38%

×Draw23%

Häcken II W39%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Team TG FF WExpected goals in this matchHäcken II W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.66

1.69

Team TG FF W

1.66

Häcken II W

1.69

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 26 home / 31 away

1.08

creates per match

1.06

2.31

allows per match

2.23

creates per match

Team TG FF W

1.08

Häcken II W

1.06

allows per match

Team TG FF W

2.31

Häcken II W

2.23

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Team TG FF W+0.00on par

Häcken II W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over65
Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes66
No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Team TG FF W ↓

Häcken II W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–25%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–110%

1–28%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

85%15%2.5

65%35%3.5

43%57%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

Team TG FF W or draw

61%

Team TG FF W or Häcken II W

77%

Draw or Häcken II W

62%

Winning margin

Team TG FF W wins by 2+

19%

Häcken II W wins by 2+

20%

Team goals

Team TG FF W 1+ goals

81%

Team TG FF W 2+ goals

49%

Team TG FF W 3+ goals

23%

Häcken II W 1+ goals

82%

Häcken II W 2+ goals

50%

Häcken II W 3+ goals

24%

Draw no bet

Team TG FF W (draw refunded)

49%

Häcken II W (draw refunded)

51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

56%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Team TG FF W at home — creates 1.08, concedes 2.31 · 26 matches

Häcken II W away — creates 1.06, concedes 2.23 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Team TG FF W attack 1.08 + Häcken II W defence 2.23 → ÷2 → 1.66

Häcken II W attack 1.06 + Team TG FF W defence 2.31 → ÷2 → 1.69

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Team TG FF W scores more

38%

level

23%

Häcken II W scores more

39%

Häcken II W at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Häcken II W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

48'

N. Jensen

52'

E. Migas

56'

E. Grenholm← E. Johansson

56'

A. Sandstrom← O. Nasstrom

56'

J. Wikstrom← E. Dahlin

68'

I. Olsson← T. Vikstrom

71'

W. Lundstrom← N. Kjellman

77'

I. Stromberg← M. Vaglund

81'

I. Veiszhaupt← E. Hjartardottir

Team

Häcken

30

22

3

23

6

10

⚽

Migas

21

Lindskog

8

Staaf

25

▼

Kjellman

17

⚽

Jensen

5

▼

1

2

6

9

▼

Nasstrom

11

▼

12

14

15

19

▼

Vaglund

22

▼

Vikstrom

37

▼

Johansson

Manager: J. Wikström

56'▲E. Grenholm←▼E. Johansson

56'▲A. Sandstrom←▼O. Nasstrom

56'▲J. Wikstrom←▼E. Dahlin

68'▲I. Olsson←▼T. Vikstrom

77'▲I. Stromberg←▼M. Vaglund

Team TG FF W substitutes

30Wallner5Olsson8Grenholm10Sandstrom17Stromberg20Wikstrom24Ritzen

Manager: M. Olausson

71'▲W. Lundstrom←▼N. Kjellman

81'▲I. Veiszhaupt←▼E. Hjartardottir

Häcken II W substitutes

15Svanberg16Lundstrom18Folkow26Nystrom27Veiszhaupt

Elitettan: Team TG FF W 0–2 Häcken II W

Häcken II W beat Team TG FF W 2-0 in Elitettan on August 27, 2025.

Goals: N. Jensen (48'), E. Migas (52').

The match was played at Umea Energi Arena SOL in Umea.

Team TG FF W vs Häcken II W — Elitettan 2021

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Elitettan: Team TG FF W 0–2 Häcken II W