Team TG FF W 2–2 Gamla Upsala W: Result & Stats

Team TG FF W

FT

2 – 2

HT: 2 – 2

Gamla Upsala W

L. Lindstrom 39', 34'

L. Call 45'

J. Edholm 23'

11/15/2025

Elitettan · Round 26Umea Energi Arena SOL

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 26+ matches

Team TG FF W33%

×Draw22%

Gamla Upsala W45%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Team TG FF WExpected goals in this matchGamla Upsala W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.57

1.86

Team TG FF W

1.57

Gamla Upsala W

1.86

Gamla Upsala W creates 18% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 57 away

1.08

creates per match

1.42

2.31

allows per match

2.07

creates per match

Team TG FF W

1.08

Gamla Upsala W

1.42

allows per match

Team TG FF W

2.31

Gamla Upsala W

2.07

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Team TG FF W+0.00on par

Gamla Upsala W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over66
Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes67
No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Team TG FF W ↓

Gamla Upsala W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–16%

0–26%

0–33%

0–42%

1

1–05%

1–19%

1–29%

1–35%

1–43%

2

2–04%

2–17%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–02%

3–14%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

66%34%3.5

45%55%4.5

26%74%

Double chance

Team TG FF W or draw

55%

Team TG FF W or Gamla Upsala W

78%

Draw or Gamla Upsala W

67%

Winning margin

Team TG FF W wins by 2+

16%

Gamla Upsala W wins by 2+

24%

Team goals

Team TG FF W 1+ goals

79%

Team TG FF W 2+ goals

46%

Team TG FF W 3+ goals

21%

Gamla Upsala W 1+ goals

84%

Gamla Upsala W 2+ goals

55%

Gamla Upsala W 3+ goals

28%

Draw no bet

Team TG FF W (draw refunded)

42%

Gamla Upsala W (draw refunded)

58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

57%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Team TG FF W at home — creates 1.08, concedes 2.31 · 26 matches

Gamla Upsala W away — creates 1.42, concedes 2.07 · 57 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Team TG FF W attack 1.08 + Gamla Upsala W defence 2.07 → ÷2 → 1.57

Gamla Upsala W attack 1.42 + Team TG FF W defence 2.31 → ÷2 → 1.86

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Team TG FF W scores more

33%

level

22%

Gamla Upsala W scores more

45%

Gamla Upsala W at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Gamla Upsala W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

23'

34'

39'

45'

55'

E. Lilliehook← D. Sandas

61'

T. Hallsen← L. Call

69'

I. Olsson← E. Grenholm

90+2'

I. Stromberg← M. Vaglund

Team

Gamla

3

⚽

Edholm

4

▼

Sandas

8

Kuusniemi

10

⚽

▼

13

14

15

17

18

22

24

30

2

6

⚽2

Lindstrom

8

▼

10

11

12

14

15

19

▼

Vaglund

22

Vikstrom

Manager: J. Wikström

69'▲I. Olsson←▼E. Grenholm

90+2'▲I. Stromberg←▼M. Vaglund

Team TG FF W substitutes

1Wallner5Olsson7Westergren9Nasstrom17Stromberg21Nabb24Ritzen

Manager: P. Persson

55'▲E. Lilliehook←▼D. Sandas

61'▲T. Hallsen←▼L. Call

Gamla Upsala W substitutes

2Brundin6Lilliehook9Costow12Hallsen20Stenberg23Solalv27Andersson

Match Recap: Team TG FF W vs Gamla Upsala W

Team TG FF W and Gamla Upsala W drew 2-2 in Elitettan on November 15, 2025.

Goals: J. Edholm (23'), L. Lindstrom (34', 39'), L. Call (45').

The match was played at Umea Energi Arena SOL in Umea.

Team TG FF W vs Gamla Upsala W — Elitettan 2021

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Team TG FF W vs Gamla Upsala W