Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Dynamo — Regionalliga - Nordost 2026

Tasmania Berlin
Tasmania Berlin
Preview
13:00
BFC Dynamo
BFC Dynamo
3/14/2027Regionalliga - NordostRegionalliga - Nordost · Nordost - 25
60%
BFC Dynamo
model favours
19%21%60%

90% of Tasmania Berlin’s matches go over 2.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

1–2
likely score
59%
over 2.5 goals
56%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Tasmania Berlin19%
×Draw21%
BFC Dynamo60%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Tasmania Berlin
1.03
BFC Dynamo
2.03

BFC Dynamo creates 97% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 16 away

creates per match

Tasmania Berlin
1.00
BFC Dynamo
2.06

allows per match

Tasmania Berlin
2.00
BFC Dynamo
1.06

finishing

Tasmania Berlin+0.00on par
BFC Dynamo+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tasmania Berlin ↓

BFC Dynamo →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–110%
0–210%
0–37%
0–43%
1
1–05%
1–110%
1–210%
1–37%
1–43%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–25%
2–33%
2–42%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Tasmania Berlin or draw
40%
Tasmania Berlin or BFC Dynamo
79%
Draw or BFC Dynamo
81%

Winning margin

Tasmania Berlin wins by 2+
7%
BFC Dynamo wins by 2+
37%

Team goals

Tasmania Berlin 1+ goals
64%
Tasmania Berlin 2+ goals
28%
Tasmania Berlin 3+ goals
9%
BFC Dynamo 1+ goals
87%
BFC Dynamo 2+ goals
60%
BFC Dynamo 3+ goals
33%

Draw no bet

Tasmania Berlin (draw refunded)
24%
BFC Dynamo (draw refunded)
76%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tasmania Berlin at home — creates 1.00, concedes 2.00 · 3 matches

BFC Dynamo away — creates 2.06, concedes 1.06 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tasmania Berlin attack 1.00 + BFC Dynamo defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.03

BFC Dynamo attack 2.06 + Tasmania Berlin defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.03

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Tasmania Berlin scores more
19%
level
21%
BFC Dynamo scores more
60%

BFC Dynamo at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "BFC Dynamo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Tasmania Berlin score first in only 20% of matches
  • Tasmania Berlin have scored in 10 games running
  • Both teams score in 80% of Tasmania Berlin’s matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Berlin
LWWWD
Dynamo
WWWDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Tasmania Berlin face BFC Dynamo (Regionalliga - Nordost)

Regionalliga - Nordost returns with Tasmania Berlin hosting BFC Dynamo. Match starts March 14, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.