Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Tanjong Pagar vs Geylang International — Premier League 2019

Tanjong Pagar
Tanjong Pagar
FT
3 – 3
HT: 1 – 1
Geylang International
Geylang International
5/25/2025Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 36Jurong East Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 70+ matches

Tanjong Pagar30%
×Draw21%
Geylang International49%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Tanjong Pagar
1.66
Geylang International
2.14

Geylang International creates 29% more chances

Season form · 70 home / 81 away

creates per match

Tanjong Pagar
1.39
Geylang International
1.78

allows per match

Tanjong Pagar
2.50
Geylang International
1.93

finishing

Tanjong Pagar+0.00on par
Geylang International+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Over
  • Over73
  • Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tanjong Pagar ↓

Geylang International →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–15%
0–25%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
73%27%3.5
52%48%4.5
33%67%

Double chance

Tanjong Pagar or draw
51%
Tanjong Pagar or Geylang International
79%
Draw or Geylang International
70%

Winning margin

Tanjong Pagar wins by 2+
15%
Geylang International wins by 2+
29%

Team goals

Tanjong Pagar 1+ goals
81%
Tanjong Pagar 2+ goals
49%
Tanjong Pagar 3+ goals
23%
Geylang International 1+ goals
88%
Geylang International 2+ goals
63%
Geylang International 3+ goals
36%

Draw no bet

Tanjong Pagar (draw refunded)
38%
Geylang International (draw refunded)
62%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
63%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tanjong Pagar at home — creates 1.39, concedes 2.50 · 70 matches

Geylang International away — creates 1.78, concedes 1.93 · 81 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tanjong Pagar attack 1.39 + Geylang International defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 1.66

Geylang International attack 1.78 + Tanjong Pagar defence 2.50 → ÷2 → 2.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Tanjong Pagar scores more
30%
level
21%
Geylang International scores more
49%

Geylang International at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Geylang International will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Tanjong Pagar vs Geylang International

Tanjong Pagar and Geylang International drew 3-3 in Premier League on May 25, 2025.

The match was played at Jurong East Stadium in Singapore.