Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Tamworth vs Walton & Hersham — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Tamworth
Tamworth
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Walton & Hersham
Walton & Hersham
T. Bramble 69'
D. Creaney 33'
Unknown 43'
7/11/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Tamworth40%
×Draw23%
Walton & Hersham38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Tamworth
1.75
Walton & Hersham
1.70

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 5 home / 4 away

creates per match

Tamworth
2.00
Walton & Hersham
2.00

allows per match

Tamworth
1.40
Walton & Hersham
1.50

finishing

Tamworth+0.00on par
Walton & Hersham+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tamworth ↓

Walton & Hersham →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

Tamworth or draw
62%
Tamworth or Walton & Hersham
77%
Draw or Walton & Hersham
60%

Winning margin

Tamworth wins by 2+
21%
Walton & Hersham wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Tamworth 1+ goals
83%
Tamworth 2+ goals
52%
Tamworth 3+ goals
25%
Walton & Hersham 1+ goals
82%
Walton & Hersham 2+ goals
51%
Walton & Hersham 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Tamworth (draw refunded)
51%
Walton & Hersham (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
58%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tamworth at home — creates 2.00, concedes 1.40 · 5 matches

Walton & Hersham away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tamworth attack 2.00 + Walton & Hersham defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.75

Walton & Hersham attack 2.00 + Tamworth defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.70

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Tamworth scores more
40%
level
23%
Walton & Hersham scores more
38%

Tamworth at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Tamworth will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

33'
D. Creaney
43'
69'
T. Bramble

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Tamworth vs Walton & Hersham

Tamworth beat Walton & Hersham 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 11, 2026.

Goals: D. Creaney (33'), ? (43'), T. Bramble (69').