Tampines Rovers 8–1 Young Lions: Result & Stats

Tampines Rovers

FT

8 – 1

HT: 4 – 1

Young Lions

4/24/2026

Premier League · Round 19Tampines Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 82+ matches

Tampines Rovers66%

×Draw17%

Young Lions17%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tampines RoversExpected goals in this matchYoung Lions

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.61

1.25

Tampines Rovers

2.61

Young Lions

1.25

Tampines Rovers creates 109% more chances

Season form · 83 home / 82 away

2.51

creates per match

1.10

1.41

allows per match

2.71

creates per match

Tampines Rovers

2.51

Young Lions

1.10

allows per match

Tampines Rovers

1.41

Young Lions

2.71

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Tampines Rovers+0.00on par

Young Lions+0.00on par

Total goals

Over74
Under26

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes66
No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tampines Rovers ↓

Young Lions →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–13%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–06%

1–17%

1–24%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–18%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–04%

4–15%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

90%10%2.5

74%26%3.5

53%47%4.5

33%67%

Double chance

Tampines Rovers or draw

83%

Tampines Rovers or Young Lions

83%

Draw or Young Lions

34%

Winning margin

Tampines Rovers wins by 2+

45%

Young Lions wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Tampines Rovers 1+ goals

93%

Tampines Rovers 2+ goals

73%

Tampines Rovers 3+ goals

47%

Young Lions 1+ goals

71%

Young Lions 2+ goals

36%

Young Lions 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Tampines Rovers (draw refunded)

80%

Young Lions (draw refunded)

20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

59%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tampines Rovers at home — creates 2.51, concedes 1.41 · 83 matches

Young Lions away — creates 1.10, concedes 2.71 · 82 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tampines Rovers attack 2.51 + Young Lions defence 2.71 → ÷2 → 2.61

Young Lions attack 1.10 + Tampines Rovers defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Tampines Rovers scores more

66%

level

17%

Young Lions scores more

17%

Tampines Rovers at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Tampines Rovers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff