Tampere United 0–2 Atlantis: Result & Stats

Tampere United

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

Atlantis

O. Toure 90+3'

C. Ibekwe 23'

9/8/2023

Kakkonen - Lohko B · Group B - 18Kauppi 3 TN

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 24+ matches

Tampere United44%

×Draw22%

Atlantis33%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tampere UnitedExpected goals in this matchAtlantis

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.86

1.59

Tampere United

1.86

Atlantis

1.59

Tampere United creates 17% more chances

Season form · 44 home / 24 away

1.84

creates per match

1.88

1.30

allows per match

1.88

creates per match

Tampere United

1.84

Atlantis

1.88

allows per match

Tampere United

1.30

Atlantis

1.88

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Tampere United+0.00on par

Atlantis+0.00on par

Total goals

Over67
Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes67
No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tampere United ↓

Atlantis →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–15%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–19%

1–27%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–34%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

67%33%3.5

45%55%4.5

26%74%

Double chance

Tampere United or draw

67%

Tampere United or Atlantis

78%

Draw or Atlantis

56%

Winning margin

Tampere United wins by 2+

24%

Atlantis wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Tampere United 1+ goals

84%

Tampere United 2+ goals

55%

Tampere United 3+ goals

28%

Atlantis 1+ goals

80%

Atlantis 2+ goals

47%

Atlantis 3+ goals

21%

Draw no bet

Tampere United (draw refunded)

57%

Atlantis (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

58%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tampere United at home — creates 1.84, concedes 1.30 · 44 matches

Atlantis away — creates 1.88, concedes 1.88 · 24 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tampere United attack 1.84 + Atlantis defence 1.88 → ÷2 → 1.86

Atlantis attack 1.88 + Tampere United defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.59

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Tampere United scores more

44%

level

22%

Atlantis scores more

33%

Tampere United at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Tampere United will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

23'

A. Kuusinen

23'

C. Ibekwe

26'

I. Chijioke

38'

D. Rudenko

46'

E. Ek← A. Raittinen

46'

E. Bullock← R. Kostiainen

46'

A. Haapala← E. Räisänen

46'

O. Toure← M. Severino

56'

B. Jeng

81'

A. Achenchab

85'

E. Bullock

85'

C. Ajunwoko← A. Achenchab

90+3'

O. Toure

Tampere

Atlantis

77

Mustafa

5

Șevcenco

14

Tiberi

19

⚽

Ibekwe

20

▼

10

6

51

62

11

▼

18

32

35

15

13

25

41

▼

Räisänen

17

Özcelik

7

Stenroos

10

▼

Kostiaine

11

▼

Raittinen

18

Georg

Manager: J. Listenmaa

46'▲E. Ek←▼A. Raittinen

46'▲E. Bullock←▼R. Kostiainen

46'▲A. Haapala←▼E. Räisänen

Tampere United substitutes

4Ek9Bullock20Haapala1Stälhand2Aitbenzanzoun6Stenroos19Jalasvaara

Manager: A. Moshood

46'▲O. Toure←▼M. Severino

85'▲C. Ajunwoko←▼A. Achenchab

Atlantis substitutes

33Toure38Ajunwoko4Costa31Salau34Makengo37Sfishta

Kakkonen - Lohko B: Tampere United 0–2 Atlantis

Atlantis beat Tampere United 2-0 in Kakkonen - Lohko B on September 8, 2023.

Goals: C. Ibekwe (23'), O. Toure (90+3').

The match was played at Kauppi 3 TN in Tampere.

Tampere United vs Atlantis — Kakkonen - Lohko B 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Kakkonen - Lohko B: Tampere United 0–2 Atlantis