Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Tamaraceite vs Tenerife C — Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 2019

Tamaraceite
Tamaraceite
FT
3 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Tenerife C
Tenerife C
3/7/2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Group 12 - 25Campo de Fútbol Juan Guedes

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Tamaraceite47%
×Draw24%
Tenerife C28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Tamaraceite
1.66
Tenerife C
1.23

Tamaraceite creates 35% more chances

Season form · 83 home / 17 away

creates per match

Tamaraceite
1.78
Tenerife C
1.47

allows per match

Tamaraceite
0.99
Tenerife C
1.53

finishing

Tamaraceite+0.00on par
Tenerife C+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tamaraceite ↓

Tenerife C →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Tamaraceite or draw
72%
Tamaraceite or Tenerife C
76%
Draw or Tenerife C
53%

Winning margin

Tamaraceite wins by 2+
25%
Tenerife C wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Tamaraceite 1+ goals
81%
Tamaraceite 2+ goals
49%
Tamaraceite 3+ goals
23%
Tenerife C 1+ goals
71%
Tenerife C 2+ goals
35%
Tenerife C 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Tamaraceite (draw refunded)
63%
Tenerife C (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tamaraceite at home — creates 1.78, concedes 0.99 · 83 matches

Tenerife C away — creates 1.47, concedes 1.53 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tamaraceite attack 1.78 + Tenerife C defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.66

Tenerife C attack 1.47 + Tamaraceite defence 0.99 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Tamaraceite scores more
47%
level
24%
Tenerife C scores more
28%

Tamaraceite at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Tamaraceite will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Tamaraceite 3 – 0 Tenerife C

Tamaraceite beat Tenerife C 3-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 on March 7, 2026.

The match was played at Campo de Fútbol Juan Guedes in Las Palmas de Gran Canaria.