Scoreo

Talleres Remedios vs Deportivo ArmenioPrimera B Metropolitana 2026

10/9/2023Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B Metropolitana · Clausura - 17Estadio Pablo Comelli

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 99+ matches

Talleres Remedios36%
×Draw31%
Deportivo Armenio33%
Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Talleres Remedios
1.01
Deportivo Armenio
0.96

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 99 home / 126 away

creates per match

Talleres Remedios
1.08
Deportivo Armenio
1.00

allows per match

Talleres Remedios
0.92
Deportivo Armenio
0.94

finishing

Talleres Remedios+0.00on par
Deportivo Armenio+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Under
  • Under68
  • Over32

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Talleres Remedios

Deportivo Armenio
0
1
2
3
4
0
0014%
0113%
026%
032%
040%
1
1014%
1114%
126%
132%
140%
2
207%
217%
223%
231%
240%
3
302%
312%
321%
330%
340%
4
401%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 0–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
59%41%2.5
32%68%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Talleres Remedios or draw
67%
Talleres Remedios or Deportivo Armenio
69%
Draw or Deportivo Armenio
64%

Winning margin

Talleres Remedios wins by 2+
14%
Deportivo Armenio wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Talleres Remedios 1+ goals
64%
Talleres Remedios 2+ goals
27%
Talleres Remedios 3+ goals
8%
Deportivo Armenio 1+ goals
62%
Deportivo Armenio 2+ goals
25%
Deportivo Armenio 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Talleres Remedios (draw refunded)
52%
Deportivo Armenio (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
26%
Both score & under 3
14%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Talleres Remedios at homecreates 1.08, concedes 0.92 · 99 matches

Deportivo Armenio awaycreates 1.00, concedes 0.94 · 126 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Talleres Remedios attack 1.08 + Deportivo Armenio defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 1.01

Deportivo Armenio attack 1.00 + Talleres Remedios defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 36%?"

Talleres Remedios scores more
36%
level
31%
Deportivo Armenio scores more
33%

Talleres Remedios at 36% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 36% does not mean "Talleres Remedios will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Talleres
Deportivo
M. Marrone
Manager: M. Marrone
46'B. PonceF. Enrique
61'I. CiavarelliA. Barreiro
75'E. GarcíaD. Vergara
82'L. SchiaffiniR. Cao
82'M. BolañaD. Guzmán

Talleres Remedios substitutes

C. Grabinski
Manager: C. Grabinski
46'J. GuenzaniL. Villalva
69'F. AlmanzaN. Sánchez
69'T. Jerez SayagoL. Montani
69'L. LezcanoA. Bottan
82'S. PatroniJ. Herrera

Deportivo Armenio substitutes

Primera B Metropolitana: Talleres Remedios 0–0 Deportivo Armenio

Talleres Remedios and Deportivo Armenio drew 0-0 in Primera B Metropolitana on October 9, 2023.

The match was played at Estadio Pablo Comelli in Remedios Escalada, Provincia de Buenos Aires.