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Talleres Cordoba vs Independ. Rivadavia — League #1032 2026

Talleres Cordoba
Talleres Cordoba
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Independ. Rivadavia
Independ. Rivadavia
G. Bou 37'
F. Castro 27'
4/7/2024League #1032League #1032 · 1st Phase - 13Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Talleres Cordoba66%
×Draw19%
Independ. Rivadavia15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Talleres Cordoba
2.25
Independ. Rivadavia
0.96

Talleres Cordoba creates 134% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 6 away

creates per match

Talleres Cordoba
2.50
Independ. Rivadavia
1.17

allows per match

Talleres Cordoba
0.75
Independ. Rivadavia
2.00

finishing

Talleres Cordoba+0.00on par
Independ. Rivadavia+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Talleres Cordoba ↓

Independ. Rivadavia →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–19%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Talleres Cordoba or draw
85%
Talleres Cordoba or Independ. Rivadavia
81%
Draw or Independ. Rivadavia
34%

Winning margin

Talleres Cordoba wins by 2+
43%
Independ. Rivadavia wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Talleres Cordoba 1+ goals
89%
Talleres Cordoba 2+ goals
65%
Talleres Cordoba 3+ goals
39%
Independ. Rivadavia 1+ goals
62%
Independ. Rivadavia 2+ goals
25%
Independ. Rivadavia 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Talleres Cordoba (draw refunded)
82%
Independ. Rivadavia (draw refunded)
18%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Talleres Cordoba at home — creates 2.50, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

Independ. Rivadavia away — creates 1.17, concedes 2.00 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Talleres Cordoba attack 2.50 + Independ. Rivadavia defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.25

Independ. Rivadavia attack 1.17 + Talleres Cordoba defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Talleres Cordoba scores more
66%
level
19%
Independ. Rivadavia scores more
15%

Talleres Cordoba at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Talleres Cordoba will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7
G. BouTalleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba · F
7.7

Match Events

27'
F. Castro↳ Ezequiel Ham
37'
G. Bou↳ A. Martínez
52'
J. Cavallaro← M. Reali
57'
D. Romero← A. Martínez
68'
J. Ascacíbar← Ezequiel Ham
72'
U. Ortegoza← L. Sequeira
72'
G. Benavídez← A. Vigo
79'
F. Sartori← F. Castro
79'
L. Abecasis← M. Ruíz Díaz
81'
M. Navarro← G. Bou
81'
F. Girotti← N. Bustos
83'
G. Benavidez
84'
J. Ascacibar

Possession

65%Talleres

Shots

17Talleres

Pass accuracy

58%Talleres

Statistics

TalleresIndepend.
Overview
65%Possession35%
17Total Shots7
2Corners2
11Fouls15
Shots
17Total Shots7
5On Target3
10Off Target1
2Blocked3
10Inside Box3
7Outside Box4
Passing
65%Possession35%
493Total Passes274
409Accurate Passes167
83%Pass Accuracy61%
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
Discipline
11Fouls15
1Yellow Cards1
1Offsides0

League #1032: Talleres Cordoba 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia

Talleres Cordoba and Independ. Rivadavia drew 1-1 in League #1032 on April 7, 2024.

Goals: F. Castro (27'), G. Bou (37').

Talleres Cordoba controlled possession (65%) and registered 17 shots to 7.

The match was played at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes in Ciudad de Córdoba, Provincia de Córdoba.